League OneMatchday 13
Cambridge vs Plymouth: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%O2.554%56%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Plymouth3:1CambridgeL
- Cambridge0:0PlymouthD
- Cambridge2:0PlymouthW
- Plymouth1:1CambridgeD
- Plymouth0:0CambridgeD
Cambridge's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.5under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.3 : 1.6total 2.8Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 2.9
Cambridge : PlymouthMost likely scores
Model1-112%0-19%1-29%2-1—1-08%0-27%2-2—Attack/defence1-112%0-18%1-28%2-19%1-08%0-2—2-26%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%0-10-19%0-18%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-1—2-19%1-01-08%1-08%0-20-27%0-2—2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 70%62% | 62% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69%67% | 67% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 55%63% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54%56% | 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46%44% | 44% |
| 2 – Plymouth win | 45%37% · Elo 49% | 37%· Elo 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31%33% | 33% |
| 1 – Cambridge win | 30%38% · Elo 26% | 38%· Elo 26% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 26% | 25%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Cambridge attack vs Plymouth defenceattack1508defence1520−12 pts to the attack
Plymouth attack vs Cambridge defenceattack1605defence1516+89 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 6.7 in this match, 7.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.550%61%
7.536%43%
8.524%30%
9.515%17%
Each team on its own
Cambridgewe expect 2.9, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 34%
Plymouthwe expect 3.4, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 45%
Foulsleague average
Under 18.5 · 70%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 30%
We expect 16.3 in this match, 18.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.17.538%56%
18.531%53%
19.524%53%
20.518%51%
Each team on its own
Cambridgewe expect 6.9, league average 8.9 · chance of over 8.5: 27%
Plymouthwe expect 9.2, league average 9.8 · chance of over 9.5: 44%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 66%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 34%
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.556%60%
3.534%43%
4.518%23%
5.58%14%
Each team on its own
Cambridgewe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Plymouthwe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Cambridge: newly promoted
- Cambridge: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Plymouth: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 19 |
| 5 | Cambridge | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:11 | 16 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Cambridge vs Plymouth?
Plymouth are the favourites. Chances: Cambridge win 30%, draw 25%, Plymouth win 45%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Cambridge vs Plymouth?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Cambridge 1.3, Plymouth 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 54%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Cambridge vs Plymouth?
The League One match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).