League OneMatchday 13
Oxford vs Bradford: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%O2.543%41%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Oxford1:0BradfordW
- Bradford2:0OxfordL
- Bradford3:2OxfordL
- Oxford2:2BradfordD
- Bradford1:0OxfordL
Oxford's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.0league 10.5over 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 11.0 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.7over 3.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.4 : 1.0total 2.4Attack/defence1.3 : 1.0total 2.3
Oxford : BradfordMost likely scores
Model1-113%1-013%0-09%0-19%2-09%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-010%0-110%2-08%2-19%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-013%1-012%0-00-09%0-010%0-10-19%0-110%2-02-09%2-08%2-12-1—2-19%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%79% | 79% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69%68% | 68% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57%59% | 59% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 54%57% | 57% |
| 1 – Oxford win | 46%43% · Elo 59% | 43%· Elo 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43%41% | 41% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 27%28% · Elo 23% | 28%· Elo 23% |
| 2 – Bradford win | 27%28% · Elo 18% | 28%· Elo 18% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Oxford attack vs Bradford defenceattack1548defence1622−74 pts to the attack
Bradford attack vs Oxford defenceattack1417defence1520−103 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Bradford: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Bradford concede only 0.6 goals per game
- Bradford matches average 12.7 corners (league 10.5) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Oxford score a lot late on: 7 of 15 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Oxford: newly promoted
- Oxford: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Bradford: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bradford | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 17 |
| 8 | Oxford | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Oxford vs Bradford?
Oxford are the favourites. Chances: Oxford win 46%, draw 27%, Bradford win 27%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Oxford vs Bradford?
Expected goals: 2.4 (Oxford 1.4, Bradford 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 43%. Most likely score: 1-0.
When is Oxford vs Bradford?
The League One match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).