League OneMatchday 12
Oxford vs Wigan: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 6d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%O2.545%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.9
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Oxford4:2WiganW
- Wigan2:0OxfordL
- Wigan1:1OxfordD
- Oxford2:3WiganL
- Oxford2:1WiganW
Oxford's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.5under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 3.7over 3.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.1total 2.8Attack/defence1.6 : 0.9total 2.5
Oxford : WiganMost likely scores
Market1-09%1-112%2-09%2-110%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-013%1-112%2-010%2-19%0-09%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-09%1-013%1-11-112%1-112%2-02-09%2-010%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-07%0-09%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 77%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%74% | 74% |
| 1 – Oxford win | 51%52% · Elo 67% | 52%· Elo 67% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 50%48% | 48% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 19% | 26%· Elo 19% |
| 2 – Wigan win | 24%22% · Elo 14% | 22%· Elo 14% |
Attack vs defence
Oxford attack vs Wigan defenceattack1548defence1523+25 pts to the attack
Wigan attack vs Oxford defenceattack1362defence1520−158 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Wigan score only 0.5 goals per game
- Wigan: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Oxford score a lot late on: 7 of 15 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Oxford: newly promoted
- Wigan played 3 days ago
- Oxford: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Oxford | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 14 |
| 24 | Wigan | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Oxford vs Wigan?
Oxford are the favourites. Chances: Oxford win 51%, draw 26%, Wigan win 24%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Oxford vs Wigan?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Oxford 1.7, Wigan 1.1). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Oxford vs Wigan?
The League One match kicks off 20 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).