League OneMatchday 9
Oxford vs Stockport: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 13d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%O2.558%57%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Stockport2:1OxfordL
- Oxford0:1StockportL
- Stockport2:1OxfordL
- Oxford1:1StockportD
- Oxford5:0StockportW
Oxford's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.5over 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.7under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.6 : 1.4total 3.0Attack/defence1.5 : 1.5total 3.0
Oxford : StockportMost likely scores
Model1-111%2-19%1-28%1-08%0-17%2-2—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-28%1-07%0-17%2-26%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-08%1-07%0-10-17%0-17%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 67%64% | 64% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64%65% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58%57% | 57% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 57%61% | 61% |
| 1 – Oxford win | 43%39% · Elo 48% | 39%· Elo 48% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42%43% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36%35% | 35% |
| 2 – Stockport win | 33%36% · Elo 26% | 36%· Elo 26% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 26% | 25%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Oxford attack vs Stockport defenceattack1548defence1540+8 pts to the attack
Stockport attack vs Oxford defenceattack1619defence1520+99 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Oxford score a lot late on: 7 of 15 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Oxford: newly promoted
- Oxford played 3 days ago
- Stockport played 3 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stockport | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Oxford | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Oxford vs Stockport?
Oxford are the favourites. Chances: Oxford win 43%, draw 24%, Stockport win 33%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Oxford vs Stockport?
Expected goals: 3.0 (Oxford 1.6, Stockport 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 58%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Oxford vs Stockport?
The League One match kicks off 27 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).