League OneMatchday 9
Sheffield Weds vs Cambridge: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 13d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%O2.551%51%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Sheffield Weds5:0CambridgeW
- Cambridge0:2Sheffield WedsW
- Sheffield Weds6:0CambridgeW
- Cambridge1:1Sheffield WedsD
Sheffield Weds's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.9league 10.5over 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.8 : 0.9total 2.7Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7
Sheffield Weds : CambridgeMost likely scores
Model1-111%1-012%2-010%2-110%0-1—0-07%Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-08%2-19%0-17%0-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-012%1-010%2-02-010%2-08%2-12-110%2-19%0-10-1—0-17%0-00-07%0-07%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 80%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%71% | 71% |
| 1 – Sheffield Weds win | 57%46% · Elo 51% | 46%· Elo 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%49% | 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 43%54% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%29% | 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%25% | 25% |
| X – draw | 23%26% · Elo 25% | 26%· Elo 25% |
| 2 – Cambridge win | 20%28% · Elo 24% | 28%· Elo 24% |
Attack vs defence
Sheffield Weds attack vs Cambridge defenceattack1529defence1516+13 pts to the attack
Cambridge attack vs Sheffield Weds defenceattack1508defence1535−27 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 6.7 in this match, 7.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.550%61%
7.536%43%
8.524%30%
9.515%17%
Each team on its own
Sheffield Wedswe expect 3.4, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 44%
Cambridgewe expect 3.0, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 35%
Foulsleague average
Under 18.5 · 53%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 47%
We expect 18.4 in this match, 18.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.17.555%56%
18.547%53%
19.539%53%
20.532%51%
Each team on its own
Sheffield Wedswe expect 9.9, league average 8.9 · chance of over 8.5: 63%
Cambridgewe expect 8.3, league average 9.8 · chance of over 9.5: 33%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 71%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 29%
We expect 2.7 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.551%60%
3.529%43%
4.514%23%
5.56%14%
Each team on its own
Sheffield Wedswe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Cambridgewe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sheffield Weds: newly promoted
- Cambridge: newly promoted
- Sheffield Weds played 3 days ago
- Cambridge played 3 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cambridge | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:11 | 16 |
| 7 | Sheffield Weds | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 15 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sheffield Weds vs Cambridge?
Sheffield Weds are the favourites. Chances: Sheffield Weds win 57%, draw 23%, Cambridge win 20%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Sheffield Weds vs Cambridge?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Sheffield Weds 1.8, Cambridge 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 51%. Most likely score: 1-0.
When is Sheffield Weds vs Cambridge?
The League One match kicks off 27 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).