League TwoMatchday 12
Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 6d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%O2.543%40%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Crawley Town0:0ShrewsburyD
- Shrewsbury1:0Crawley TownL
- Shrewsbury1:2Crawley TownW
- Crawley Town3:5ShrewsburyL
- Shrewsbury1:1Crawley TownD
Crawley Town's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 3.7over 3.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.4 : 1.0total 2.4Attack/defence1.2 : 1.1total 2.3
Crawley Town : ShrewsburyMost likely scores
Model1-113%1-012%0-09%0-19%2-19%2-0—Attack/defence1-114%1-012%0-011%0-111%2-18%2-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-113%1-114%1-01-012%1-012%0-00-09%0-011%0-10-19%0-111%2-12-19%2-18%2-02-0—2-07%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%71% | 71% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 72%68% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69%66% | 66% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57%60% | 60% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 55%62% | 62% |
| 1 – Crawley Town win | 45%39% · Elo 41% | 39%· Elo 41% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43%40% | 40% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31%34% | 34% |
| 2 – Shrewsbury win | 28%32% · Elo 32% | 32%· Elo 32% |
| X – draw | 27%29% · Elo 28% | 29%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Crawley Town attack vs Shrewsbury defenceattack1429defence1477−48 pts to the attack
Shrewsbury attack vs Crawley Town defenceattack1429defence1446−17 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 7.6 in this match, 7.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.563%61%
7.549%45%
8.536%27%
9.525%17%
Each team on its own
Crawley Townwe expect 3.7, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 32%
Shrewsburywe expect 3.9, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 65%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 36%over
We expect 22.9 in this match, 20.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.571%61%
20.565%57%
21.558%51%
22.551%45%
Each team on its own
Crawley Townwe expect 9.6, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 37%
Shrewsburywe expect 13.6, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 77%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 47%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.568%58%
3.547%41%
4.528%28%
5.515%11%
Each team on its own
Crawley Townwe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Shrewsburywe expect 2.2, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 63%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Crawley Town matches average 5.5 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Crawley Town played 3 days ago
- Shrewsbury played 3 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury?
Crawley Town are the favourites. Chances: Crawley Town win 45%, draw 27%, Shrewsbury win 28%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury?
Expected goals: 2.4 (Crawley Town 1.4, Shrewsbury 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 43%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury?
The League Two match kicks off 20 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).