League TwoMatchday 13
Walsall vs Salford: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 12d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%O2.546%40%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Salford1:0WalsallL
- Walsall1:0SalfordW
- Walsall2:2SalfordD
- Salford0:2WalsallW
- Walsall2:1SalfordW
Walsall's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 9.9over 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.7over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.4 : 1.2total 2.5Attack/defence1.2 : 1.1total 2.3
Walsall : SalfordMost likely scores
Model1-113%1-011%0-19%0-08%2-19%1-2—Attack/defence1-114%1-011%0-111%0-010%2-18%1-27%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-113%1-114%1-01-011%1-011%0-10-19%0-111%0-00-08%0-010%2-12-19%2-18%1-21-2—1-27%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 75%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72%67% | 67% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%66% | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 58%63% | 63% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54%60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46%40% | 40% |
| 1 – Walsall win | 42%37% · Elo 35% | 37%· Elo 35% |
| 2 – Salford win | 32%34% · Elo 37% | 34%· Elo 37% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28%33% | 33% |
| X – draw | 27%29% · Elo 28% | 29%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Walsall attack vs Salford defenceattack1491defence1549−58 pts to the attack
Salford attack vs Walsall defenceattack1525defence1518+7 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 61%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 6.9 in this match, 7.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.553%61%
7.539%45%
8.526%27%
9.517%17%
Each team on its own
Walsallwe expect 3.5, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 27%
Salfordwe expect 3.1, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 37%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 58%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 19.8 in this match, 20.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.550%61%
20.542%57%
21.535%51%
22.529%45%
Each team on its own
Walsallwe expect 10.1, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 43%
Salfordwe expect 9.5, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 36%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 77%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 23%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.544%58%
3.523%41%
4.511%28%
5.54%11%
Each team on its own
Walsallwe expect 1.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Salfordwe expect 1.1, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 30%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Walsall matches average 12.0 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Salford: 4 wins in a row
- Walsall: unbeaten in 9 matches
- Salford score a lot late on: 11 of 26 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Walsall played 2 days ago
- Salford played 2 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 6 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 12:6 | 15 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Walsall vs Salford?
Walsall are the favourites. Chances: Walsall win 42%, draw 27%, Salford win 32%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Walsall vs Salford?
Expected goals: 2.5 (Walsall 1.4, Salford 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 46%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Walsall vs Salford?
The League Two match kicks off 26 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).