Ligue 1Matchday 7

Angers vs Marseille: prediction, tips and stats

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Angers
3-11-20-02-01-5
1.2:1.6Pre-match
Marseille
2-01-20-12-30-2

Our tips

Tip in 4d 9h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloAngers169629%27%Draw26%27%Marseille183845%46%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%55%O2.560%51%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.6
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Angers2:5MarseilleL
  2. Marseille2:2AngersD
  3. Angers0:2MarseilleL
  4. Marseille1:1AngersD
  5. Marseille3:1AngersL
Angers's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.6over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.6under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.7total 3.1Attack/defence1.2 : 1.6total 2.7
Angers : Marseille
Most likely scores
Market1-111%0-17%1-29%0-27%1-0—2-17%0-0—Attack/defence1-112%0-110%1-29%0-28%1-07%2-1—0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%0-10-17%0-110%1-21-29%1-29%0-20-27%0-28%1-01-0—1-07%2-12-17%2-1—0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%75%75%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat71%72%72%
Under 3.5 goals62%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes62%55%55%
Over 2.5 goals60%51%51%
1X – home team avoid defeat55%54%54%
2 – Marseille win45%46% · Elo 46%46%· Elo 46%
Under 2.5 goals40%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals38%29%29%
Both teams to score: no38%45%45%
1 – Angers win29%28% · Elo 27%28%· Elo 27%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals18%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Angers attack vs Marseille defenceattack1371defence1520−149 pts to the attack
Marseille attack vs Angers defenceattack1574defence1439+135 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 9.4 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.571%60%
8.558%49%
9.546%38%
10.534%28%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Angerswe expect 4.4, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Marseillewe expect 5.2, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 74%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 21.0 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.551%53%
21.544%47%
22.537%41%
23.531%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Angerswe expect 9.9, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 40%
Marseillewe expect 11.0, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 53%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 38%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.560%63%
3.538%43%
4.521%26%
5.510%14%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Angerswe expect 1.8, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Marseillewe expect 1.3, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 38%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Streaks before the match

  • Marseille6 matches in a row without BTTS awayoverall: 1Went on 51%League 39%Model 38%Record 16
All streaks

League form

Angers

Marseille

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Angers62137:107
13Marseille62049:86
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Angers vs Marseille?

Marseille are the favourites. Chances: Angers win 29%, draw 26%, Marseille win 45%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in Angers vs Marseille?

Expected goals: 3.1 (Angers 1.4, Marseille 1.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 60%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Will both teams score in Angers vs Marseille?

The chance that both teams score is 62%.

When is Angers vs Marseille?

The Ligue 1 match kicks off 18 October 2026, 14:00 (UK time).

See also