Ligue 1Matchday 7
Le Havre vs Auxerre: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%51%O2.550%46%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Le Havre1:1AuxerreD
- Auxerre0:1Le HavreW
- Auxerre1:2Le HavreW
- Le Havre3:1AuxerreW
- Le Havre1:2AuxerreL
Le Havre's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.6over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.6under 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.3total 2.7Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Le Havre : AuxerreMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%2-19%0-1—0-08%1-28%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%0-19%0-09%1-2—2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-09%1-011%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%0-00-08%0-09%1-21-28%1-2—2-02-0—2-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 68%69% | 69% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 60%59% | 59% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50%46% | 46% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%49% | 49% |
| 1 – Le Havre win | 40%41% · Elo 36% | 41%· Elo 36% |
| 2 – Auxerre win | 32%31% · Elo 36% | 31%· Elo 36% |
| X – draw | 28%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%24% | 24% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%29% | 29% |
Attack vs defence
Le Havre attack vs Auxerre defenceattack1405defence1466−61 pts to the attack
Auxerre attack vs Le Havre defenceattack1434defence1472−38 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.563%60%
8.550%49%
9.538%38%
10.527%28%
Each team on its own
Le Havrewe expect 5.0, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 55%
Auxerrewe expect 3.9, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 21.2 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.553%53%
21.546%47%
22.539%41%
23.532%36%
Each team on its own
Le Havrewe expect 9.4, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 34%
Auxerrewe expect 11.8, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 61%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.568%63%
3.547%43%
4.528%26%
5.515%14%
Each team on its own
Le Havrewe expect 1.8, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
Auxerrewe expect 1.7, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Auxerre concede 2.1 goals per game
- Auxerre: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Auxerre matches average 11.7 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Le Havre: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Auxerre: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | 2 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Le Havre vs Auxerre?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Le Havre win 40%, draw 28%, Auxerre win 32%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Le Havre vs Auxerre?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Le Havre 1.4, Auxerre 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 50%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Le Havre vs Auxerre?
The chance that both teams score is 55%.
When is Le Havre vs Auxerre?
The Ligue 1 match kicks off 18 October 2026, 16:15 (UK time).