Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.3under 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 10.5 corners.

Yellow cardsleague yellows4.5league 4.5under 4.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.

Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Model1.4 : 1.4total 2.8Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 2.9

Darmstadt : St Pauli

Most likely scores

Model1-112%2-18%0-19%1-09%1-28%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%0-17%1-08%1-28%2-07%

ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-19%0-17%1-01-09%1-08%1-21-28%1-28%2-02-0—2-07%

Outcome	Model	Attack/defence
12 – no draw	74%75%	75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	63%59%	59%
1X – home team avoid defeat	63%67%	67%
2 – St Pauli win	37%33% · Elo 46%	33%· Elo 46%
1 – Darmstadt win	37%41% · Elo 27%	41%· Elo 27%
X – draw	26%26% · Elo 27%	26%· Elo 27%

Attack vs defence

Darmstadt attack vs St Pauli defenceattack1500defence1538−38 pts to the attack

St Pauli attack vs Darmstadt defenceattack1486defence1482+4 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average

Under 10.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%

We expect 10.5 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

9.560%56%

10.548%52%

11.537%41%

12.527%35%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Darmstadtwe expect 4.7, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 33%

St Pauliwe expect 5.7, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 49%

Foulsleague average

Over 21.5 · 57%close to the league averageunder 43%over

We expect 22.8 in this match, 21.9 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

20.564%57%

21.557%54%

22.550%44%

23.543%40%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Darmstadtwe expect 11.3, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 56%

St Pauliwe expect 11.6, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 49%

Offsidesleague average

Over 3.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over

We expect 3.7 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

2.571%65%

3.550%37%

4.531%30%

5.517%16%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Darmstadtwe expect 1.7, league average 2.0 · chance of over 1.5: 50%

St Pauliwe expect 1.9, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 56%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

St Pauli: newly promoted
Darmstadt: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
St Pauli: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Darmstadt

St Pauli

League position

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	Pts
7	St Pauli	7	2	4	1	10:8	10
14	Darmstadt	7	2	1	4	8:14	7

Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Darmstadt vs St Pauli?

It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Darmstadt win 37%, draw 26%, St Pauli win 37%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.

How many goals will there be in Darmstadt vs St Pauli?

Expected goals: 2.8 (Darmstadt 1.4, St Pauli 1.4). Most likely score: 1-1.

When is Darmstadt vs St Pauli?

The 2. Bundesliga match kicks off 23 October 2026, 17:30 (UK time).

Our tips

The match in numbers

Prediction: result and goals

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Worth knowing before kick-off

League form

Darmstadt

St Pauli

League position

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Darmstadt vs St Pauli?

How many goals will there be in Darmstadt vs St Pauli?

When is Darmstadt vs St Pauli?

See also