Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.3over 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end over 10.5 corners.

Yellow cardsleague yellows4.5league 4.5under 4.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.

Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Model1.9 : 1.3total 3.2Attack/defence1.8 : 1.4total 3.1

Hertha : Bielefeld

Most likely scores

Model1-110%2-110%1-08%2-07%1-27%2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-07%2-07%1-27%2-26%

ModelAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-08%1-07%2-02-07%2-07%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-2—2-26%

Outcome	Model	Attack/defence
12 – no draw	77%76%	76%
1X – home team avoid defeat	73%70%	70%
1 – Hertha win	50%47% · Elo 54%	47%· Elo 54%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	50%53%	53%
2 – Bielefeld win	27%30% · Elo 21%	30%· Elo 21%
X – draw	23%24% · Elo 25%	24%· Elo 25%

Attack vs defence

Hertha attack vs Bielefeld defenceattack1547defence1507+40 pts to the attack

Bielefeld attack vs Hertha defenceattack1518defence1506+12 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average

Under 10.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%

We expect 10.6 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

9.561%56%

10.549%52%

11.538%41%

12.528%35%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Herthawe expect 6.1, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 55%

Bielefeldwe expect 4.5, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 30%

Foulsleague average

Over 21.5 · 63%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 37%over

We expect 23.7 in this match, 21.9 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

20.569%57%

21.563%54%

22.556%44%

23.549%40%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Herthawe expect 11.8, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 61%

Bielefeldwe expect 12.1, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 54%

Offsidesleague average

Under 3.5 · 67%close to the league averageunderover 33%

We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

2.555%65%

3.533%37%

4.517%30%

5.58%16%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Herthawe expect 1.5, league average 2.0 · chance of over 1.5: 45%

Bielefeldwe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 35%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Hertha: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
Hertha: 7 wins in a row
Hertha: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Hertha: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
Bielefeld: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Hertha

Bielefeld

League position

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	Pts
1	Hertha	7	7	0	0	19:8	21
9	Bielefeld	7	2	2	3	11:12	8

Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Hertha vs Bielefeld?

Hertha are the favourites. Chances: Hertha win 50%, draw 23%, Bielefeld win 27%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.

How many goals will there be in Hertha vs Bielefeld?

Expected goals: 3.2 (Hertha 1.9, Bielefeld 1.3). Most likely score: 1-1.

When is Hertha vs Bielefeld?

The 2. Bundesliga match kicks off 24 October 2026, 12:00 (UK time).

Our tips

The match in numbers

Prediction: result and goals

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Worth knowing before kick-off

League form

Hertha

Bielefeld

League position

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Hertha vs Bielefeld?

How many goals will there be in Hertha vs Bielefeld?

When is Hertha vs Bielefeld?

See also