2. BundesligaMatchday 8
Holstein Kiel vs Hertha: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 2d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%60%O2.567%56%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.5
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Hertha0:1Holstein KielW
- Holstein Kiel0:1HerthaL
- Hertha2:2Holstein KielD
- Holstein Kiel2:3HerthaL
Holstein Kiel's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.3over 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.6league 4.5under 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.8total 3.4Attack/defence1.5 : 1.5total 2.9
Holstein Kiel : HerthaMost likely scores
Market1-110%1-29%2-18%1-0—0-1—2-27%0-25%Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-19%1-08%0-17%2-26%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-0—1-08%0-10-1—0-17%2-22-27%2-26%0-20-25%0-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68%60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67%56% | 56% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 66%62% | 62% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 58%64% | 64% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55%66% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45%34% | 34% |
| 2 – Hertha win | 42%36% · Elo 39% | 36%· Elo 39% |
| 1 – Holstein Kiel win | 34%39% · Elo 33% | 39%· Elo 33% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: no | 32%40% | 40% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Holstein Kiel attack vs Hertha defenceattack1458defence1506−48 pts to the attack
Hertha attack vs Holstein Kiel defenceattack1547defence1504+43 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 55%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 10.3 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.557%56%
10.545%52%
11.534%41%
12.525%35%
Each team on its own
Holstein Kielwe expect 4.7, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 33%
Herthawe expect 5.3, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 43%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 73%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 28%over
We expect 25.4 in this match, 21.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.578%57%
21.573%54%
22.566%44%
23.560%40%
Each team on its own
Holstein Kielwe expect 12.6, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 69%
Herthawe expect 13.2, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 64%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.564%65%
3.542%37%
4.524%30%
5.512%16%
Each team on its own
Holstein Kielwe expect 1.4, league average 2.0 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Herthawe expect 1.8, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 53%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Hertha7 wins in a rowaway: 4Went on 58%League 30%Model 42%Record 10
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Hertha: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Hertha: 7 wins in a row
- Hertha: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Holstein Kiel: no win in 9 matches
- Holstein Kiel: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Holstein Kiel: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Hertha: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:8 | 21 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Hertha?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Holstein Kiel win 34%, draw 24%, Hertha win 42%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Holstein Kiel vs Hertha?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Holstein Kiel 1.6, Hertha 1.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 67%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Holstein Kiel vs Hertha?
The chance that both teams score is 68%.
When is Holstein Kiel vs Hertha?
The 2. Bundesliga match kicks off 16 October 2026, 17:30 (UK time).