BundesligaMatchday 7
RB Leipzig vs Elversberg: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%58%O2.576%63%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.0
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.9over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.4league 3.6under 3.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.8 : 1.1total 3.9Attack/defence2.2 : 1.0total 3.3
RB Leipzig : ElversbergMost likely scores
Market2-19%2-08%1-17%1-0—3-18%3-07%Attack/defence2-110%2-010%1-19%1-08%3-17%3-07%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-110%2-02-08%2-010%1-11-17%1-19%1-01-0—1-08%3-13-18%3-17%3-03-07%3-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 91%84% | 84% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 87%84% | 84% |
| 12 – no draw | 85%80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76%63% | 63% |
| 1 – RB Leipzig win | 72%64% · Elo 76% | 64%· Elo 76% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64%58% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 56%41% | 41% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 44%59% | 59% |
| Both teams to score: no | 36%42% | 42% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 28%36% | 36% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 24%37% | 37% |
| X – draw | 15%20% · Elo 15% | 20%· Elo 15% |
| 2 – Elversberg win | 13%16% · Elo 9% | 16%· Elo 9% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 9%16% | 16% |
Attack vs defence
RB Leipzig attack vs Elversberg defenceattack1585defence1460+125 pts to the attack
Elversberg attack vs RB Leipzig defenceattack1400defence1563−163 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 9.7 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.562%61%
9.550%48%
10.538%36%
11.527%28%
Each team on its own
RB Leipzigwe expect 6.3, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 59%
Elversbergwe expect 3.6, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 30%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 19.7 in this match, 19.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.557%59%
19.549%53%
20.542%46%
21.535%39%
Each team on its own
RB Leipzigwe expect 9.5, league average 9.9 · chance of over 9.5: 48%
Elversbergwe expect 10.2, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 55%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 3.9 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.574%66%
3.554%46%
4.535%30%
5.520%16%
Each team on its own
RB Leipzigwe expect 1.6, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
Elversbergwe expect 2.3, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 65%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- RB Leipzig score 2.5 goals per game
- RB Leipzig matches average only 2.4 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- RB Leipzig: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Elversberg: newly promoted
- RB Leipzig: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Elversberg: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 9 |
| 9 | Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Elversberg?
RB Leipzig are the favourites. Chances: RB Leipzig win 72%, draw 15%, Elversberg win 13%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in RB Leipzig vs Elversberg?
Expected goals: 3.9 (RB Leipzig 2.8, Elversberg 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 76%. Most likely score: 2-1.
Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs Elversberg?
The chance that both teams score is 64%.
When is RB Leipzig vs Elversberg?
The Bundesliga match kicks off 24 October 2026, 14:30 (UK time).