Serie AMatchday 8
Como vs Sassuolo: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%55%O2.562%57%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.0
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Sassuolo2:1ComoL
- Como2:0SassuoloW
Como's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss2.5 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners9.4league 8.9over 8.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.6under 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.0total 3.3Attack/defence2.0 : 1.0total 3.0
Como : SassuoloMost likely scores
Market1-19%2-010%2-110%1-08%3-08%3-1—Attack/defence1-110%2-010%2-110%1-010%3-07%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-08%1-010%3-03-08%3-07%3-13-1—3-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 86%82% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 82%78% | 78% |
| 1 – Como win | 67%60% · Elo 58% | 60%· Elo 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62%57% | 57% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60%66% | 66% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: no | 44%45% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40%34% | 34% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38%43% | 43% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 34%40% | 40% |
| X – draw | 19%22% · Elo 25% | 22%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16%21% | 21% |
| 2 – Sassuolo win | 15%18% · Elo 17% | 18%· Elo 17% |
Attack vs defence
Como attack vs Sassuolo defenceattack1601defence1444+157 pts to the attack
Sassuolo attack vs Como defenceattack1459defence1584−125 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.563%57%
8.550%41%
9.538%28%
10.527%19%
Each team on its own
Comowe expect 5.9, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 67%
Sassuolowe expect 3.4, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 43%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 67%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 33%
We expect 21.3 in this match, 23.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.539%51%
23.533%45%
24.527%37%
25.522%33%
Each team on its own
Comowe expect 10.3, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 35%
Sassuolowe expect 10.8, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 40%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 3.6 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.570%62%
3.549%41%
4.530%28%
5.517%15%
Each team on its own
Comowe expect 1.3, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Sassuolowe expect 2.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 67%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Como matches average 10.9 corners (league 8.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Como: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Sassuolo: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Como vs Sassuolo?
Como are the favourites. Chances: Como win 67%, draw 19%, Sassuolo win 15%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Como vs Sassuolo?
Expected goals: 3.3 (Como 2.3, Sassuolo 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 62%. Most likely score: 2-0.
Will both teams score in Como vs Sassuolo?
The chance that both teams score is 56%.
When is Como vs Sassuolo?
The Serie A match kicks off 24 October 2026, 14:00 (UK time).