Serie AMatchday 5
Milan 3-0 Lecce: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
- Referee:
- Federico La Penna
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won60%
our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5
Other tips
- Match Result: MilanWon78%
Milan: won 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost38%
our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%49%O2.560%50%|exp. goals 1.8 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Milan1:0LecceW
- Lecce0:2MilanW
- Lecce2:3MilanW
- Milan3:0LecceW
- Milan3:0LecceW
Milan's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.4league 8.9under 9.5: 67%Expected corners: 8.4 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.8under 4.5: 66%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 67% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 1
RefereeF. La Penna−0.1 cards vs average19 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.5 : 0.6total 3.1Attack/defence1.8 : 0.9total 2.7
Milan : LecceMost likely scores
Market2-014%1-010%1-17%3-011%2-19%0-0—Attack/defence2-011%1-012%1-111%3-07%2-110%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-014%2-011%1-01-010%1-012%1-11-17%1-111%3-03-011%3-07%2-12-19%2-110%0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 92%83% | 83% |
| 12 – no draw | 85%76% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%75% | 75% |
| 1 – Milan win | 78%59% · Elo 62% | 59%· Elo 62% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%72% | 72% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 60%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 57%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43%49% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%28% | 28% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 21%41% | 41% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%25% | 25% |
| X – draw | 14%24% · Elo 23% | 24%· Elo 23% |
| 2 – Lecce win | 7%18% · Elo 15% | 18%· Elo 15% |
Attack vs defence
Milan attack vs Lecce defenceattack1561defence1452+109 pts to the attack
Lecce attack vs Milan defenceattack1348defence1545−197 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Milan matches average only 6.4 corners (league 8.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Lecce: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Milan: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Lecce: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 12 |
| 13 | Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Milan vs Lecce?
Milan 3-0 Lecce (half time 1-0).
Did the Milan vs Lecce tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.