J1 LeagueMatchday 10
Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 2hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%56%O2.552%53%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.6
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Chiba2:3Yokohama F. MarinosL
- Yokohama F. Marinos2:0ChibaL
- Yokohama F. Marinos1:1ChibaD
- Chiba1:1Yokohama F. MarinosD
- Chiba0:3Yokohama F. MarinosL
Chiba's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.4under 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.8league 2.6over 2.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 2.8 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 2.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.6total 2.8Attack/defence1.2 : 1.6total 2.8
Chiba : Yokohama F. MarinosMost likely scores
Market1-113%0-19%1-29%0-28%1-0—2-1—0-07%Attack/defence1-112%0-19%1-29%0-28%1-07%2-17%0-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%0-10-19%0-19%1-21-29%1-29%0-20-28%0-28%1-01-0—1-07%2-12-1—2-17%0-00-07%0-0—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 73%71% | 71% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70%70% | 70% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56%56% | 56% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 53%54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52%53% | 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48%48% | 48% |
| 2 – Yokohama F. Marinos win | 47%45% · Elo 52% | 45%· Elo 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 44%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%30% | 30% |
| 1 – Chiba win | 27%29% · Elo 22% | 29%· Elo 22% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 26% | 26%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Chiba attack vs Yokohama F. Marinos defenceattack1428defence1508−80 pts to the attack
Yokohama F. Marinos attack vs Chiba defenceattack1529defence1387+142 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 64%close to the league averageunderover 36%
We expect 7.6 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.549%53%
8.536%39%
9.525%28%
10.516%23%
Each team on its own
Chibawe expect 3.9, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 35%
Yokohama F. Marinoswe expect 3.5, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 45%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 59%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 41%over
We expect 21.1 in this match, 19.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.567%58%
19.559%49%
20.552%42%
21.545%35%
Each team on its own
Chibawe expect 10.5, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 59%
Yokohama F. Marinoswe expect 10.7, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 49%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 59%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.563%54%
3.541%35%
4.523%19%
5.512%13%
Each team on its own
Chibawe expect 2.0, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 59%
Yokohama F. Marinoswe expect 1.3, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 37%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Chiba concede 2.1 goals per game
- Yokohama F. Marinos: 18 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Chiba: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Yokohama F. Marinos: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 19 | Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Yokohama F. Marinos are the favourites. Chances: Chiba win 27%, draw 26%, Yokohama F. Marinos win 47%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Chiba 1.2, Yokohama F. Marinos 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 52%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
The chance that both teams score is 56%.
When is Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
The J1 League match kicks off 17 October 2026, 06:00 (UK time).