J1 LeagueMatchday 9
Chiba 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Corners: Under 9.5Lost59%
8.1 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.5 in the visitors', league average 9.4
For the brave
Corners: Under 7.5Lost33%
8.1 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.5 in the visitors', league average 9.4
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%56%O2.549%52%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners9.0league 9.4under 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.5league 2.6under 2.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 2.5 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 2.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 3
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)73%X22:1coverageleague 67%covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.3total 2.6Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Chiba : V-Varen NagasakiMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%0-19%2-18%1-2—0-08%Attack/defence1-113%1-09%0-18%2-19%1-28%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-09%1-09%0-10-19%0-18%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-2—1-28%0-00-08%0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%76% | 76% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 64%65% | 65% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 63%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54%56% | 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%49% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 46%44% | 44% |
| 1 – Chiba win | 36%38% · Elo 34% | 38%· Elo 34% |
| 2 – V-Varen Nagasaki win | 35%36% · Elo 38% | 36%· Elo 38% |
| X – draw | 28%26% · Elo 29% | 26%· Elo 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%29% | 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Chiba attack vs V-Varen Nagasaki defenceattack1426defence1433−7 pts to the attack
V-Varen Nagasaki attack vs Chiba defenceattack1433defence1386+47 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.555%53%
8.542%39%
9.530%28%
10.520%23%
Each team on its own
Chibawe expect 4.2, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
V-Varen Nagasakiwe expect 3.9, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 54%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 19.4 in this match, 19.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.555%58%
19.547%48%
20.539%41%
21.532%34%
Each team on its own
Chibawe expect 9.6, league average 9.6 · chance of over 9.5: 48%
V-Varen Nagasakiwe expect 9.7, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 39%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 75%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 25%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.546%54%
3.525%35%
4.512%20%
5.55%13%
Each team on its own
Chibawe expect 1.4, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
V-Varen Nagasakiwe expect 1.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 31%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Chiba concede 2.2 goals per game
- Chiba: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- V-Varen Nagasaki: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | 9 |
| 19 | Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
Chiba 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki (half time 1-0).
Did the Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 9.5. The tip lost.