J1 LeagueMatchday 9
Kashima Antlers 2-0 Gamba Osaka: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Mercari Stadium, Kashima
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost61%
our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost38%
over 3.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 8 (26% of league matches); our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%56%O2.560%54%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Kashima Antlers0:0Gamba OsakaD
- Gamba Osaka0:1Kashima AntlersW
- Kashima Antlers0:0Gamba OsakaD
- Gamba Osaka1:2Kashima AntlersW
- Gamba Osaka2:1Kashima AntlersL
Kashima Antlers's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.4under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 5
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.7league 2.5under 2.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 2.7 in this match, 2.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 2.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 3
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)72%O2.51:1coverageleague 60% · H2H 2/5not covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.1total 3.1Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.9
Kashima Antlers : Gamba OsakaMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%1-08%2-09%3-17%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-110%1-010%2-09%3-1—1-26%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-08%1-010%2-02-09%2-09%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-26%0-10-1—0-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%78% | 78% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 81%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 78%76% | 76% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%68% | 68% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 60%54% | 54% |
| 1 – Kashima Antlers win | 58%51% · Elo 55% | 51%· Elo 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58%56% | 56% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 43%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%44% | 44% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%46% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 23%25% · Elo 25% | 25%· Elo 25% |
| 2 – Gamba Osaka win | 20%24% · Elo 20% | 24%· Elo 20% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Kashima Antlers attack vs Gamba Osaka defenceattack1583defence1472+111 pts to the attack
Gamba Osaka attack vs Kashima Antlers defenceattack1519defence1566−47 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 47%over
We expect 8.9 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.566%53%
8.553%39%
9.540%29%
10.529%23%
Each team on its own
Kashima Antlerswe expect 5.2, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 59%
Gamba Osakawe expect 4.2, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 59%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 40%over
We expect 21.2 in this match, 19.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.567%57%
19.560%48%
20.553%41%
21.545%34%
Each team on its own
Kashima Antlerswe expect 11.1, league average 9.6 · chance of over 9.5: 65%
Gamba Osakawe expect 10.2, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 44%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.582%75%
2.561%54%
3.539%35%
4.522%19%
Each team on its own
Kashima Antlerswe expect 1.9, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 55%
Gamba Osakawe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Kashima Antlers concede 2.1 goals per game
- Gamba Osaka: no win in 7 matches
- Kashima Antlers: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Gamba Osaka: 19 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka?
Kashima Antlers 2-0 Gamba Osaka (half time 1-0).
Did the Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.