EkstraklasaMatchday 11
Cracovia vs Legia: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 6hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%53%O2.550%47%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Legia1:0CracoviaL
- Cracovia2:1LegiaW
- Cracovia3:1LegiaW
- Legia3:2CracoviaL
- Cracovia2:0LegiaW
Cracovia's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.7under 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 4.0over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.4total 2.7Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6
Cracovia : LegiaMost likely scores
Market1-113%0-19%1-08%1-29%0-0—2-18%Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-09%1-28%0-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-19%0-110%1-01-08%1-09%1-21-29%1-28%0-00-0—0-08%2-12-18%2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 67%65% | 65% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 61%63% | 63% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50%47% | 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%48% | 48% |
| 2 – Legia win | 39%37% · Elo 43% | 37%· Elo 43% |
| 1 – Cracovia win | 33%35% · Elo 29% | 35%· Elo 29% |
| X – draw | 28%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%26% | 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%28% | 28% |
Attack vs defence
Cracovia attack vs Legia defenceattack1458defence1585−127 pts to the attack
Legia attack vs Cracovia defenceattack1540defence1511+29 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 9.0 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.566%61%
8.553%52%
9.541%39%
10.530%24%
Each team on its own
Cracoviawe expect 4.6, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Legiawe expect 4.5, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 64%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 23.7 in this match, 23.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.556%60%
23.549%53%
24.542%48%
25.536%42%
Each team on its own
Cracoviawe expect 12.2, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 55%
Legiawe expect 11.5, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 37%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.574%75%
2.549%50%
3.527%32%
4.513%17%
Each team on its own
Cracoviawe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Legiawe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Legia14 matches unbeatenaway: 7Went on 81%League 53%Model 67%Record 38
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Legia matches average only 2.8 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Legia: unbeaten in 14 matches
- Cracovia: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Legia: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Legia | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 21:8 | 22 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Cracovia vs Legia?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Cracovia win 33%, draw 28%, Legia win 39%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Cracovia vs Legia?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Cracovia 1.3, Legia 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 50%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Cracovia vs Legia?
The chance that both teams score is 55%.
When is Cracovia vs Legia?
The Ekstraklasa match kicks off 17 October 2026, 19:15 (UK time).