EkstraklasaMatchday 11
Gornik Z. vs Piast Gliwice: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 4hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%51%O2.555%48%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Gornik Z.2:1Piast GliwiceW
- Piast Gliwice0:1Gornik Z.W
- Piast Gliwice2:0Gornik Z.L
- Gornik Z.1:0Piast GliwiceW
- Piast Gliwice1:3Gornik Z.W
Gornik Z.'s record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.7over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 4.0over 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.0total 2.9Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Gornik Z. : Piast GliwiceMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-010%2-110%2-010%0-06%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-010%2-09%0-00-06%0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 80%76% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%74% | 74% |
| 1 – Gornik Z. win | 57%50% · Elo 52% | 50%· Elo 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%49% | 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 43%50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33%26% | 26% |
| X – draw | 23%26% · Elo 26% | 26%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%27% | 27% |
| 2 – Piast Gliwice win | 20%24% · Elo 22% | 24%· Elo 22% |
Attack vs defence
Gornik Z. attack vs Piast Gliwice defenceattack1524defence1528−4 pts to the attack
Piast Gliwice attack vs Gornik Z. defenceattack1492defence1597−105 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 8.9 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.565%61%
8.552%52%
9.540%39%
10.529%24%
Each team on its own
Gornik Z.we expect 5.2, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 57%
Piast Gliwicewe expect 3.9, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 54%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 23.9 in this match, 23.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.557%60%
23.551%53%
24.544%48%
25.537%42%
Each team on its own
Gornik Z.we expect 11.8, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 50%
Piast Gliwicewe expect 12.1, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 44%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 2.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.571%75%
2.546%50%
3.525%32%
4.512%17%
Each team on its own
Gornik Z.we expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Piast Gliwicewe expect 1.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 31%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Piast Gliwice matches average 12.2 corners (league 9.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Gornik Z.: 25 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Gornik Z. concede a lot late on: 7 of 16 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Piast Gliwice score a lot late on: 15 of 33 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Gornik Z.: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Piast Gliwice: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Z. | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | 25 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 16 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Gornik Z. vs Piast Gliwice?
Gornik Z. are the favourites. Chances: Gornik Z. win 57%, draw 23%, Piast Gliwice win 20%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Gornik Z. vs Piast Gliwice?
Expected goals: 2.9 (Gornik Z. 1.9, Piast Gliwice 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 55%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Gornik Z. vs Piast Gliwice?
The chance that both teams score is 55%.
When is Gornik Z. vs Piast Gliwice?
The Ekstraklasa match kicks off 18 October 2026, 11:15 (UK time).