EkstraklasaMatchday 12
Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 10d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%O2.548%53%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Korona Kielce1:1GKS KatowiceD
- GKS Katowice1:0Korona KielceL
- Korona Kielce2:1GKS KatowiceW
- GKS Katowice1:2Korona KielceW
- Korona Kielce1:2GKS KatowiceL
Korona Kielce's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.7over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 4.0over 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.3 : 1.3total 2.6Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.8
Korona Kielce : GKS KatowiceMost likely scores
Model1-114%1-08%2-18%0-09%1-28%2-0—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-09%2-19%0-0—1-27%2-07%0-17%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-114%1-112%1-01-08%1-09%2-12-18%2-19%0-00-09%0-0—1-21-28%1-27%2-02-0—2-07%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%77% | 77% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74%70% | 70% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 65%70% | 70% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 64%56% | 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52%47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48%53% | 53% |
| 1 – Korona Kielce win | 36%44% · Elo 37% | 44%· Elo 37% |
| 2 – GKS Katowice win | 35%30% · Elo 35% | 30%· Elo 35% |
| X – draw | 29%26% · Elo 29% | 26%· Elo 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26%30% | 30% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Korona Kielce attack vs GKS Katowice defenceattack1471defence1485−14 pts to the attack
GKS Katowice attack vs Korona Kielce defenceattack1529defence1526+3 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 54%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 8.4 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.559%61%
8.546%52%
9.534%39%
10.523%24%
Each team on its own
Korona Kielcewe expect 4.5, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 46%
GKS Katowicewe expect 3.8, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 51%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 55%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 23.0 in this match, 23.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.551%60%
23.545%53%
24.538%48%
25.532%42%
Each team on its own
Korona Kielcewe expect 10.9, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 41%
GKS Katowicewe expect 12.0, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 43%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 2.8 in this match, 2.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.576%75%
2.552%50%
3.530%32%
4.515%17%
Each team on its own
Korona Kielcewe expect 1.7, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
GKS Katowicewe expect 1.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 29%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- GKS Katowice: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Korona Kielce: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- GKS Katowice: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 22:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 15 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Korona Kielce win 36%, draw 29%, GKS Katowice win 35%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Korona Kielce 1.3, GKS Katowice 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 48%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice?
The Ekstraklasa match kicks off 24 October 2026, 13:45 (UK time).