EkstraklasaMatchday 11
Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%61%O2.561%60%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.3
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Slask Wroclaw1:1Motor LublinD
- Motor Lublin2:1Slask WroclawW
- Motor Lublin0:1Slask WroclawL
- Slask Wroclaw10:1Motor LublinL
Motor Lublin's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.7under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.0over 3.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.3total 3.1Attack/defence1.8 : 1.3total 3.1
Motor Lublin : Slask WroclawMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-07%2-07%1-27%2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-08%2-07%1-27%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-07%1-08%2-02-07%2-07%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%73% | 73% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62%61% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%60% | 60% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%62% | 62% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 52%51% | 51% |
| 1 – Motor Lublin win | 48%49% · Elo 45% | 49%· Elo 45% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%40% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%38% | 38% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%39% | 39% |
| 2 – Slask Wroclaw win | 27%27% · Elo 27% | 27%· Elo 27% |
| X – draw | 25%24% · Elo 28% | 24%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Motor Lublin attack vs Slask Wroclaw defenceattack1482defence1411+71 pts to the attack
Slask Wroclaw attack vs Motor Lublin defenceattack1472defence1444+28 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 8.6 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.562%61%
8.549%52%
9.536%39%
10.526%24%
Each team on its own
Motor Lublinwe expect 5.2, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 58%
Slask Wroclawwe expect 3.4, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 44%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 53%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 47%
We expect 23.3 in this match, 23.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.554%60%
23.547%53%
24.540%48%
25.534%42%
Each team on its own
Motor Lublinwe expect 11.4, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 46%
Slask Wroclawwe expect 11.9, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 42%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 2.7 in this match, 2.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.574%75%
2.549%50%
3.528%32%
4.513%17%
Each team on its own
Motor Lublinwe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Slask Wroclawwe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 32%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Slask Wroclaw7 matches in a row with BTTSaway: 5Went on 56%League 66%Model 62%Record 12
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Slask Wroclaw: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Motor Lublin matches average only 7.4 corners (league 9.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Slask Wroclaw: 4 defeats in a row
- Slask Wroclaw: newly promoted
- Motor Lublin: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Slask Wroclaw: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw?
Motor Lublin are the favourites. Chances: Motor Lublin win 48%, draw 25%, Slask Wroclaw win 27%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Motor Lublin 1.8, Slask Wroclaw 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 61%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw?
The chance that both teams score is 62%.
When is Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw?
The Ekstraklasa match kicks off 17 October 2026, 13:45 (UK time).