EkstraklasaMatchday 12
Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 6hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%O2.547%49%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Cracovia2:3Piast GliwiceW
- Piast Gliwice0:0CracoviaD
- Piast Gliwice0:0CracoviaD
- Cracovia1:1Piast GliwiceD
- Piast Gliwice0:0CracoviaD
Piast Gliwice's record: 1 win, 4 draws, 0 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 9.7over 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 4.0over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.5 : 1.1total 2.6Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Piast Gliwice : CracoviaMost likely scores
Model1-114%1-010%0-09%2-19%2-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-08%2-19%2-09%0-18%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%0-00-09%0-08%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-09%2-09%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 75%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 74%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 55%53% | 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47%49% | 49% |
| 1 – Piast Gliwice win | 45%47% · Elo 46% | 47%· Elo 46% |
| X – draw | 29%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%26% | 26% |
| 2 – Cracovia win | 26%27% · Elo 27% | 27%· Elo 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25%27% | 27% |
Attack vs defence
Piast Gliwice attack vs Cracovia defenceattack1492defence1511−19 pts to the attack
Cracovia attack vs Piast Gliwice defenceattack1458defence1528−70 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 9.4 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.570%61%
8.558%52%
9.546%39%
10.534%24%
Each team on its own
Piast Gliwicewe expect 5.6, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 64%
Cracoviawe expect 4.3, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 60%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 56%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 22.9 in this match, 23.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.551%60%
23.544%53%
24.537%48%
25.531%42%
Each team on its own
Piast Gliwicewe expect 11.0, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 42%
Cracoviawe expect 11.8, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 40%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 2.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.571%75%
2.546%50%
3.525%32%
4.512%17%
Each team on its own
Piast Gliwicewe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Cracoviawe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Piast Gliwice matches average 12.2 corners (league 9.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Piast Gliwice score a lot late on: 15 of 33 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Piast Gliwice: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Cracovia: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia?
Piast Gliwice are the favourites. Chances: Piast Gliwice win 45%, draw 29%, Cracovia win 26%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Piast Gliwice 1.5, Cracovia 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 47%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia?
The Ekstraklasa match kicks off 24 October 2026, 11:15 (UK time).