EkstraklasaMatchday 12
Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 10d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%O2.559%57%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Pogon Szczecin2:2Radomiak RadomD
- Radomiak Radom5:1Pogon SzczecinL
- Radomiak Radom2:0Pogon SzczecinL
- Pogon Szczecin0:1Radomiak RadomL
- Radomiak Radom0:4Pogon SzczecinW
Pogon Szczecin's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.7under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.0over 3.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model2.1 : 1.0total 3.1Attack/defence1.9 : 1.1total 3.0
Pogon Szczecin : Radomiak RadomMost likely scores
Model1-111%2-110%2-010%1-08%3-17%1-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%2-09%1-010%3-16%1-26%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-010%2-09%1-01-08%1-010%3-13-17%3-16%1-21-2—1-26%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 83%79% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%77% | 77% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%66% | 66% |
| 1 – Pogon Szczecin win | 60%55% · Elo 56% | 55%· Elo 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59%57% | 57% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%43% | 43% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 40%45% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%34% | 34% |
| X – draw | 23%23% · Elo 25% | 23%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%21% | 21% |
| 2 – Radomiak Radom win | 17%22% · Elo 19% | 22%· Elo 19% |
Attack vs defence
Pogon Szczecin attack vs Radomiak Radom defenceattack1501defence1410+91 pts to the attack
Radomiak Radom attack vs Pogon Szczecin defenceattack1472defence1544−72 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 50%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.563%61%
8.550%52%
9.538%39%
10.527%24%
Each team on its own
Pogon Szczecinwe expect 4.8, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 52%
Radomiak Radomwe expect 3.9, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 54%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 24.6 in this match, 23.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.562%60%
23.555%53%
24.548%48%
25.542%42%
Each team on its own
Pogon Szczecinwe expect 13.9, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 70%
Radomiak Radomwe expect 10.8, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 30%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 2.9 in this match, 2.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.578%75%
2.555%50%
3.533%32%
4.517%17%
Each team on its own
Pogon Szczecinwe expect 1.8, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 52%
Radomiak Radomwe expect 1.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 32%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Radomiak Radom concede 2.3 goals per game
- Pogon Szczecin matches average only 7.7 corners (league 9.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Pogon Szczecin: unbeaten in 8 matches
- Pogon Szczecin: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Radomiak Radom: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:23 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?
Pogon Szczecin are the favourites. Chances: Pogon Szczecin win 60%, draw 23%, Radomiak Radom win 17%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Pogon Szczecin 2.1, Radomiak Radom 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 59%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?
The Ekstraklasa match kicks off 24 October 2026, 16:30 (UK time).