EkstraklasaMatchday 11
Wieczysta Krakow vs Rakow: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 2d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%62%O2.563%60%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.5
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.7over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 4.0over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.5total 3.3Attack/defence1.6 : 1.5total 3.1
Wieczysta Krakow : RakowMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-06%0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-07%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-06%1-07%0-10-1—0-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 68%66% | 66% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65%62% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63%60% | 60% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59%62% | 62% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 56%59% | 59% |
| 1 – Wieczysta Krakow win | 44%41% · Elo 21% | 41%· Elo 21% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41%38% | 38% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37%40% | 40% |
| Both teams to score: no | 35%38% | 38% |
| 2 – Rakow win | 32%34% · Elo 54% | 34%· Elo 54% |
| X – draw | 24%24% · Elo 26% | 24%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Wieczysta Krakow attack vs Rakow defenceattack1508defence1490+18 pts to the attack
Rakow attack vs Wieczysta Krakow defenceattack1530defence1434+96 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 9.0 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.566%61%
8.554%52%
9.541%39%
10.530%24%
Each team on its own
Wieczysta Krakowwe expect 5.1, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 57%
Rakowwe expect 4.1, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 57%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 55%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 23.0 in this match, 23.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.552%60%
23.545%53%
24.538%48%
25.532%42%
Each team on its own
Wieczysta Krakowwe expect 11.9, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 52%
Rakowwe expect 11.0, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 32%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.573%75%
2.549%50%
3.527%32%
4.513%17%
Each team on its own
Wieczysta Krakowwe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
Rakowwe expect 1.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 30%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Rakow concede 2.5 goals per game
- Rakow: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Rakow: only 3 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Wieczysta Krakow concede a lot late on: 8 of 19 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Wieczysta Krakow: newly promoted
- Wieczysta Krakow: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Rakow: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wieczysta Krakow | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 8 |
| 18 | Rakow | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:25 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Wieczysta Krakow vs Rakow?
Wieczysta Krakow are the favourites. Chances: Wieczysta Krakow win 44%, draw 24%, Rakow win 32%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Wieczysta Krakow vs Rakow?
Expected goals: 3.3 (Wieczysta Krakow 1.8, Rakow 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 63%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Wieczysta Krakow vs Rakow?
The chance that both teams score is 65%.
When is Wieczysta Krakow vs Rakow?
The Ekstraklasa match kicks off 16 October 2026, 17:00 (UK time).