Liga PortugalMatchday 6

Famalicao 1-1 Sp Lisbon: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, Vila Nova de Famalicao
Referee:
Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: Sp LisbonLost64%

Sp Lisbon: won 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; won 4 of their last 5 league matches

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 5.5Lost67%

    under 5.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (61% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 0:2Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloFamalicao170415%13%Draw21%21%Sp Lisbon204464%66%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%51%O2.554%48%|exp. goals 1.0 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sp Lisbon1:0FamalicaoL
  2. Famalicao1:2Sp LisbonL
  3. Sp Lisbon3:1FamalicaoL
  4. Famalicao0:3Sp LisbonL
  5. Famalicao0:1Sp LisbonL
Famalicao's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.4under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.7league 5.1under 5.5: 67%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 6
RefereeL. Miguel Branco Godinho−0.5 cards vs average33 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.8 : 2.0total 2.8Attack/defence1.0 : 1.6total 2.6
Famalicao : Sp Lisbon
Most likely scores
Market1-111%0-212%0-111%1-210%0-38%0-0—1-0—Attack/defence1-112%0-29%0-111%1-29%0-3—0-08%1-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%0-20-212%0-29%0-10-111%0-111%1-21-210%1-29%0-30-38%0-3—0-00-0—0-08%1-01-0—1-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat85%75%75%
12 – no draw79%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals78%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals69%74%74%
Our tip: 2 – Sp Lisbon win64%49% · Elo 66%49%· Elo 66%
Over 2.5 goals54%48%48%
Both teams to score: yes50%51%51%
Both teams to score: no50%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals46%52%52%
1X – home team avoid defeat36%51%51%
Over 3.5 goals31%26%26%
Under 1.5 goals22%27%27%
X – draw21%26% · Elo 21%26%· Elo 21%
1 – Famalicao win15%25% · Elo 13%25%· Elo 13%
Attack vs defence
Famalicao attack vs Sp Lisbon defenceattack1470defence1640−170 pts to the attack
Sp Lisbon attack vs Famalicao defenceattack1745defence1574+171 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sp Lisbon score 2.9 goals per game
  • Sp Lisbon: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sp Lisbon: 4 wins in a row
  • Sp Lisbon concede a lot late on: 11 of 19 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Famalicao: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Sp Lisbon: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Sp Lisbon853020:918
13Famalicao814310:117
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Famalicao vs Sp Lisbon?

Famalicao 1-1 Sp Lisbon (half time 0-0).

Did the Famalicao vs Sp Lisbon tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Sp Lisbon. The tip lost.