Liga PortugalMatchday 5
Sp Lisbon 2-0 Nacional: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Jose Alvalade, Lisbon
- Referee:
- Joao Pedro Pinheiro
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost70%
our numbers: 3.6 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost48%
our numbers: 3.6 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS39%51%O2.570%63%|exp. goals 2.4 : 0.8not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Sp Lisbon2:1NacionalW
- Nacional1:4Sp LisbonW
- Sp Lisbon2:0NacionalW
- Nacional1:6Sp LisbonW
- Sp Lisbon2:0NacionalW
Sp Lisbon's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.4under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.1under 5.5: 60%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.won · ended 3
RefereeJ. Pedro Pinheiro+0.3 cards vs average32 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market3.1 : 0.5total 3.6Attack/defence2.4 : 0.8total 3.3
Sp Lisbon : NacionalMost likely scores
Market3-013%2-013%4-010%2-1—1-08%1-1—3-17%Attack/defence3-09%2-011%4-0—2-19%1-09%1-18%3-18%
MarketAttack/defence3-03-013%3-09%2-02-013%2-011%4-04-010%4-0—2-12-1—2-19%1-01-08%1-09%1-11-1—1-18%3-13-17%3-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 96%90% | 90% |
| 12 – no draw | 91%83% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%84% | 84% |
| 1 – Sp Lisbon win | 87%73% · Elo 85% | 73%· Elo 85% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 70%63% | 63% |
| Both teams to score: no | 61%49% | 49% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52%59% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48%41% | 41% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30%37% | 37% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 13%27% | 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%16% | 16% |
| X – draw | 9%17% · Elo 10% | 17%· Elo 10% |
| 2 – Nacional win | 4%10% · Elo 5% | 10%· Elo 5% |
Attack vs defence
Sp Lisbon attack vs Nacional defenceattack1749defence1441+308 pts to the attack
Nacional attack vs Sp Lisbon defenceattack1456defence1632−176 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sp Lisbon score 2.8 goals per game
- Sp Lisbon: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Sp Lisbon: unbeaten in 9 matches
- Sp Lisbon concede a lot late on: 11 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Sp Lisbon: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Nacional: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sp Lisbon | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sp Lisbon vs Nacional?
Sp Lisbon 2-0 Nacional (half time 1-0).
Did the Sp Lisbon vs Nacional tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.