Liga PortugalMatchday 7
Porto 3-1 Benfica: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio do Dragao, Porto
- Referee:
- Miguel Bertolo Nogueira
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost55%
2.3 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.3 in the visitors', league average 5.0; referee Miguel Bertolo Nogueira averages 4.7 cards a match, league average 5.0
Other tips
- Both Teams To Score: YesWon55%
Porto: scored in each of their last 6 league matches
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%56%O2.550%51%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Benfica2:2PortoD
- Porto0:0BenficaD
- Porto1:4BenficaL
- Benfica4:1PortoL
- Porto5:0BenficaW
Porto's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.4under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.4league 5.0under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.lost · ended 8
RefereeM. Bertolo Nogueira−0.8 cards vs average30 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.4total 2.7Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Porto : BenficaMost likely scores
Market1-113%0-19%1-29%1-08%2-1—0-08%Attack/defence1-113%0-18%1-28%1-09%2-18%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-19%0-18%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-08%1-09%2-12-1—2-18%0-00-08%0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%71% | 71% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 66%62% | 62% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 62%64% | 64% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%44% | 44% |
| 2 – Benfica win | 38%36% · Elo 37% | 36%· Elo 37% |
| 1 – Porto win | 34%38% · Elo 34% | 38%· Elo 34% |
| X – draw | 28%26% · Elo 30% | 26%· Elo 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%29% | 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Porto attack vs Benfica defenceattack1654defence1656−2 pts to the attack
Benfica attack vs Porto defenceattack1759defence1669+90 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Benfica score 3.2 goals per game
- Porto matches average only 2.9 cards (league 5.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Benfica: 10 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Porto concede only 0.6 goals per game
- Porto: 7 wins in a row
- Porto: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Benfica: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24:7 | 19 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Porto vs Benfica?
Porto 3-1 Benfica (half time 1-0).
Did the Porto vs Benfica tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.