LaLigaMatchday 10
Ath Madrid vs La Coruna: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%52%O2.562%56%|exp. goals 2.0 : 0.9
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Ath Madrid1:0La CorunaW
- La Coruna0:1Ath MadridW
- La Coruna1:1Ath MadridD
- Ath Madrid1:0La CorunaW
- Ath Madrid3:0La CorunaW
Ath Madrid's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.7over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.4under 4.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 0.6total 3.2Attack/defence2.0 : 0.9total 2.9
Ath Madrid : La CorunaMost likely scores
Market2-013%3-011%1-010%1-1—2-19%3-17%Attack/defence2-011%3-07%1-011%1-110%2-110%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-013%2-011%3-03-011%3-07%1-01-010%1-011%1-11-1—1-110%2-12-19%2-110%3-13-17%3-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 93%84% | 84% |
| 12 – no draw | 86%78% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%79% | 79% |
| 1 – Ath Madrid win | 79%62% · Elo 67% | 62%· Elo 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62%56% | 56% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60%67% | 67% |
| Both teams to score: no | 56%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44%52% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40%33% | 33% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38%44% | 44% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 21%38% | 38% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%21% | 21% |
| X – draw | 14%22% · Elo 20% | 22%· Elo 20% |
| 2 – La Coruna win | 7%16% · Elo 13% | 16%· Elo 13% |
Attack vs defence
Ath Madrid attack vs La Coruna defenceattack1601defence1476+125 pts to the attack
La Coruna attack vs Ath Madrid defenceattack1430defence1572−142 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 9.2 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.568%67%
8.556%53%
9.543%40%
10.532%31%
Each team on its own
Ath Madridwe expect 5.5, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 46%
La Corunawe expect 3.9, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 63%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%
We expect 21.9 in this match, 23.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.544%55%
23.537%48%
24.531%43%
25.525%36%
Each team on its own
Ath Madridwe expect 10.7, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 39%
La Corunawe expect 11.0, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 42%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.562%69%
3.540%48%
4.523%34%
5.511%24%
Each team on its own
Ath Madridwe expect 1.9, league average 2.1 · chance of over 2.5: 29%
La Corunawe expect 1.3, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 37%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Ath Madrid: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Ath Madrid: 4 wins in a row
- La Coruna: newly promoted
- Ath Madrid: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- La Coruna: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ath Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 8 | La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Ath Madrid vs La Coruna?
Ath Madrid are the favourites. Chances: Ath Madrid win 79%, draw 14%, La Coruna win 7%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Ath Madrid vs La Coruna?
Expected goals: 3.2 (Ath Madrid 2.6, La Coruna 0.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 62%. Most likely score: 2-0.
Will both teams score in Ath Madrid vs La Coruna?
The chance that both teams score is 44%.
When is Ath Madrid vs La Coruna?
The LaLiga match kicks off 24 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).