LaLigaMatchday 10
Sevilla vs Osasuna: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 12d 6hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%55%O2.543%52%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Osasuna2:1SevillaL
- Sevilla1:0OsasunaW
- Osasuna1:0SevillaL
- Sevilla1:1OsasunaD
- Sevilla1:1OsasunaD
Sevilla's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.7under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.9total 2.4Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
Sevilla : OsasunaMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-012%0-010%2-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%0-07%2-09%2-110%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-012%1-010%0-00-010%0-07%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-19%2-110%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%70% | 70% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 77%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%76% | 76% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: no | 52%45% | 45% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%51% | 51% |
| 1 – Sevilla win | 49%49% · Elo 47% | 49%· Elo 47% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48%55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43%52% | 52% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%24% | 24% |
| X – draw | 28%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Osasuna win | 23%25% · Elo 26% | 25%· Elo 26% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%30% | 30% |
Attack vs defence
Sevilla attack vs Osasuna defenceattack1471defence1451+20 pts to the attack
Osasuna attack vs Sevilla defenceattack1469defence1505−36 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.563%67%
8.550%53%
9.538%40%
10.527%31%
Each team on its own
Sevillawe expect 5.0, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 38%
Osasunawe expect 3.6, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 49%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 65%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 35%over
We expect 26.2 in this match, 23.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.571%55%
23.565%48%
24.558%43%
25.552%36%
Each team on its own
Sevillawe expect 13.6, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 68%
Osasunawe expect 12.9, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 61%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.567%69%
3.546%48%
4.528%34%
5.514%24%
Each team on its own
Sevillawe expect 1.9, league average 2.1 · chance of over 2.5: 30%
Osasunawe expect 1.5, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Osasuna concede 2.1 goals per game
- Sevilla matches average only 7.0 corners (league 9.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Osasuna score a lot late on: 9 of 22 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Sevilla: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Osasuna: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:18 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sevilla vs Osasuna?
Sevilla are the favourites. Chances: Sevilla win 49%, draw 28%, Osasuna win 23%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla vs Osasuna?
Expected goals: 2.4 (Sevilla 1.5, Osasuna 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 43%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Sevilla vs Osasuna?
The chance that both teams score is 48%.
When is Sevilla vs Osasuna?
The LaLiga match kicks off 26 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).