AllsvenskanMatchday 25
Kalmar vs Brommapojkarna: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 10d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%O2.555%52%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Brommapojkarna1:0KalmarL
- Brommapojkarna1:2KalmarW
- Kalmar0:1BrommapojkarnaL
- Brommapojkarna2:3KalmarW
- Kalmar1:3BrommapojkarnaL
Kalmar's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.2under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.2league 3.3under 3.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.4 : 1.5total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.8
Kalmar : BrommapojkarnaMost likely scores
Model1-112%1-29%1-08%2-18%0-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-28%1-09%2-19%0-18%0-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-08%1-09%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-18%0-18%0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%70% | 70% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 66%60% | 60% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 59%66% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55%52% | 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45%48% | 48% |
| 2 – Brommapojkarna win | 41%34% · Elo 38% | 34%· Elo 38% |
| 1 – Kalmar win | 34%40% · Elo 35% | 40%· Elo 35% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33%30% | 30% |
| X – draw | 25%26% · Elo 26% | 26%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Kalmar attack vs Brommapojkarna defenceattack1395defence1393+2 pts to the attack
Brommapojkarna attack vs Kalmar defenceattack1500defence1436+64 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 8.5 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.561%64%
8.548%53%
9.536%40%
10.525%29%
Each team on its own
Kalmarwe expect 4.5, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Brommapojkarnawe expect 3.9, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 35%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 64%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 36%over
We expect 23.8 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.570%61%
21.564%54%
22.557%47%
23.550%38%
Each team on its own
Kalmarwe expect 13.0, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 72%
Brommapojkarnawe expect 11.1, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 54%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.574%66%
2.549%44%
3.527%25%
4.513%13%
Each team on its own
Kalmarwe expect 1.1, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 31%
Brommapojkarnawe expect 1.5, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Brommapojkarna concede 2.0 goals per game
- Kalmar score only 0.5 goals per game
- Kalmar: 5 defeats in a row
- Kalmar: only 5 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Kalmar: newly promoted
- Kalmar: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Brommapojkarna: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 36:41 | 30 |
| 14 | Kalmar | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:37 | 19 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kalmar vs Brommapojkarna?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Kalmar win 34%, draw 25%, Brommapojkarna win 41%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Kalmar vs Brommapojkarna?
Expected goals: 2.9 (Kalmar 1.4, Brommapojkarna 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 55%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Kalmar vs Brommapojkarna?
The Allsvenskan match kicks off 24 October 2026, 16:30 (UK time).