Super LeagueMatchday 11
Zurich vs Luzern: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 7hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS71%70%O2.571%69%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.8
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Luzern1:0ZurichL
- Zurich1:4LuzernL
- Zurich3:2LuzernW
- Luzern1:1ZurichD
- Zurich3:2LuzernW
Zurich's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.3under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.6league 4.5under 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.8total 3.6Attack/defence1.8 : 1.8total 3.6
Zurich : LuzernMost likely scores
Market1-19%2-18%1-28%2-27%3-15%1-3—0-1—Attack/defence1-19%2-18%1-28%2-27%3-1—1-35%0-15%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-19%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%3-13-15%3-1—1-31-3—1-35%0-10-1—0-15%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89%87% | 87% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%78% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71%69% | 69% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 71%70% | 70% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 62%61% | 61% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 61%62% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50%48% | 48% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 50%52% | 52% |
| 1 – Zurich win | 39%38% · Elo 32% | 38%· Elo 32% |
| 2 – Luzern win | 38%39% · Elo 40% | 39%· Elo 40% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 29%31% | 31% |
| Both teams to score: no | 29%30% | 30% |
| X – draw | 23%23% · Elo 28% | 23%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11%13% | 13% |
Attack vs defence
Zurich attack vs Luzern defenceattack1444defence1456−12 pts to the attack
Luzern attack vs Zurich defenceattack1551defence1437+114 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 10.1 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.566%64%
9.554%48%
10.542%39%
11.532%26%
Each team on its own
Zurichwe expect 5.8, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 51%
Luzernwe expect 4.6, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 47%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 22.5 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.548%51%
23.541%45%
24.535%41%
25.529%37%
Each team on its own
Zurichwe expect 10.3, league average 11.2 · chance of over 11.5: 35%
Luzernwe expect 12.2, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 44%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 2.9 in this match, 2.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.578%80%
2.555%54%
3.533%33%
4.517%15%
Each team on its own
Zurichwe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
Luzernwe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Zurich7 matches in a row with BTTSat home: 5Went on 56%League 68%Model 71%Record 22
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Zurich concede 2.2 goals per game
- Luzern concede 2.2 goals per game
- Zurich: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Luzern: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Zurich played 0 days ago
- Luzern played 0 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Zurich | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:22 | 14 |
| 8 | Luzern | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:22 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Zurich vs Luzern?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Zurich win 39%, draw 23%, Luzern win 38%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Zurich vs Luzern?
Expected goals: 3.6 (Zurich 1.8, Luzern 1.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 71%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Zurich vs Luzern?
The chance that both teams score is 71%.
When is Zurich vs Luzern?
The Super League match kicks off 24 October 2026, 17:00 (UK time).