FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%66%O2.570%66%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Columbus Crew2:1FC CincinnatiL
- FC Cincinnati2:1Columbus CrewW
- Columbus Crew4:0FC CincinnatiL
- FC Cincinnati1:0Columbus CrewW
- FC Cincinnati2:4Columbus CrewL
FC Cincinnati's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.0under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.1under 4.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.5total 3.6Attack/defence1.9 : 1.5total 3.4
FC Cincinnati : Columbus CrewMost likely scores
Market1-19%2-19%1-26%2-27%3-16%1-0—2-0—Attack/defence1-110%2-19%1-27%2-27%3-1—1-06%2-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-26%1-27%2-22-27%2-27%3-13-16%3-1—1-01-0—1-06%2-02-0—2-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%85% | 85% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%69% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70%66% | 66% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 69%66% | 66% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52%56% | 56% |
| 1 – FC Cincinnati win | 50%47% · Elo 46% | 47%· Elo 46% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 50%53% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: no | 31%34% | 34% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30%34% | 34% |
| 2 – Columbus Crew win | 27%31% · Elo 27% | 31%· Elo 27% |
| X – draw | 23%23% · Elo 27% | 23%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
FC Cincinnati attack vs Columbus Crew defenceattack1580defence1520+60 pts to the attack
Columbus Crew attack vs FC Cincinnati defenceattack1504defence1416+88 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 9.8 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.563%55%
9.551%44%
10.539%33%
11.529%25%
Each team on its own
FC Cincinnatiwe expect 6.2, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 57%
Columbus Crewwe expect 4.0, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 67%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 33%
We expect 19.4 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.540%53%
21.533%46%
22.527%40%
23.521%35%
Each team on its own
FC Cincinnatiwe expect 9.9, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 41%
Columbus Crewwe expect 9.3, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 34%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 3.7 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.571%59%
3.550%39%
4.531%20%
5.517%11%
Each team on its own
FC Cincinnatiwe expect 1.8, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 53%
Columbus Crewwe expect 1.9, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 56%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- FC Cincinnati concede 2.3 goals per game
- FC Cincinnati: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Columbus Crew: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Columbus Crew: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- FC Cincinnati: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Columbus Crew: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 58:65 | 36 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41:46 | 29 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?
FC Cincinnati are the favourites. Chances: FC Cincinnati win 50%, draw 23%, Columbus Crew win 27%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?
Expected goals: 3.6 (FC Cincinnati 2.1, Columbus Crew 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 70%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?
The chance that both teams score is 69%.
When is FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?
The MLS match kicks off 18 October 2026, 22:00 (UK time).