FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution: prediction, tips and stats
·
- Referee:
- Rubiel Vazquez
Our tips
Tip in 20h 40mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%67%O2.569%67%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- New England Revolution6:1FC CincinnatiL
- New England Revolution0:1FC CincinnatiW
- FC Cincinnati1:0New England RevolutionW
- FC Cincinnati1:2New England RevolutionL
- New England Revolution1:2FC CincinnatiW
FC Cincinnati's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.0under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 4.1under 4.5: 69%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.
RefereeR. Vazquez−0.5 yellow cards vs average18 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.5total 3.6Attack/defence2.0 : 1.5total 3.4
FC Cincinnati : New England RevolutionMost likely scores
Market1-19%2-19%2-27%1-26%2-0—1-0—3-16%Attack/defence1-110%2-19%2-27%1-27%2-06%1-06%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%2-12-19%2-19%2-22-27%2-27%1-21-26%1-27%2-02-0—2-06%1-01-0—1-06%3-13-16%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%86% | 86% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%78% | 78% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 74%72% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69%67% | 67% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68%67% | 67% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52%55% | 55% |
| 1 – FC Cincinnati win | 51%49% · Elo 49% | 49%· Elo 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 49%51% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48%45% | 45% |
| Both teams to score: no | 32%34% | 34% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31%33% | 33% |
| 2 – New England Revolution win | 26%28% · Elo 25% | 28%· Elo 25% |
| X – draw | 23%22% · Elo 26% | 22%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%14% | 14% |
Attack vs defence
FC Cincinnati attack vs New England Revolution defenceattack1580defence1499+81 pts to the attack
New England Revolution attack vs FC Cincinnati defenceattack1489defence1416+73 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 50%
We expect 9.7 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.562%55%
9.550%44%
10.538%33%
11.528%25%
Each team on its own
FC Cincinnatiwe expect 5.4, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 45%
New England Revolutionwe expect 4.5, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 47%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 81%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 19%
We expect 17.4 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.525%53%
21.519%46%
22.515%40%
23.511%35%
Each team on its own
FC Cincinnatiwe expect 9.4, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 34%
New England Revolutionwe expect 8.2, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 22%
Referee: 21.7 fouls per match on average (151 matches in our data)−0.7 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.563%59%
3.541%39%
4.523%20%
5.512%11%
Each team on its own
FC Cincinnatiwe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
New England Revolutionwe expect 1.7, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- New England Revolution7 matches in a row over 2.5 goalsaway: 8Went on 59%League 64%Model 69%Record 14
- FC Cincinnati7 matches in a row with BTTS at homeoverall: 4Went on 55%League 64%Model 68%Record 19
Worth knowing before kick-off
- FC Cincinnati concede 2.3 goals per game
- New England Revolution: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- FC Cincinnati: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- FC Cincinnati: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- New England Revolution: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45:39 | 46 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 58:65 | 36 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
FC Cincinnati are the favourites. Chances: FC Cincinnati win 51%, draw 23%, New England Revolution win 26%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
Expected goals: 3.6 (FC Cincinnati 2.1, New England Revolution 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 69%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
The chance that both teams score is 68%.
When is FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
The MLS match kicks off 15 October 2026, 00:30 (UK time).
Who is the referee for FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
The referee is Rubiel Vazquez. In 18 matches in our data they showed 3.7 yellow cards a match on average.