Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 20hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%O2.561%59%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Austin FC1:2Sporting Kansas CityW
- Sporting Kansas City1:2Austin FCL
- Austin FC1:0Sporting Kansas CityL
- Sporting Kansas City2:0Austin FCW
- Austin FC3:2Sporting Kansas CityL
Sporting Kansas City's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.0under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 4.1under 4.5: 65%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.6 : 1.5total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 1.4total 3.1
Sporting Kansas City : Austin FCMost likely scores
Model1-111%2-19%1-28%1-06%2-27%2-0—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%1-08%2-26%2-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-06%1-08%2-22-27%2-26%2-02-0—2-07%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 65%68% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%59% | 59% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%64% | 64% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 60%57% | 57% |
| 1 – Sporting Kansas City win | 40%43% · Elo 36% | 43%· Elo 36% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%36% | 36% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%41% | 41% |
| 2 – Austin FC win | 35%32% · Elo 36% | 32%· Elo 36% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Sporting Kansas City attack vs Austin FC defenceattack1440defence1455−15 pts to the attack
Austin FC attack vs Sporting Kansas City defenceattack1384defence1339+45 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 50%
We expect 9.7 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.562%55%
9.550%44%
10.538%33%
11.528%25%
Each team on its own
Sporting Kansas Citywe expect 5.8, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 51%
Austin FCwe expect 4.2, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 69%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 31%
We expect 19.2 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.538%53%
21.531%46%
22.525%40%
23.520%35%
Each team on its own
Sporting Kansas Citywe expect 10.2, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 44%
Austin FCwe expect 8.8, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 29%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 69%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 31%
We expect 2.8 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.553%59%
3.531%39%
4.516%20%
5.57%11%
Each team on its own
Sporting Kansas Citywe expect 1.3, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Austin FCwe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sporting Kansas City concede 2.2 goals per game
- Austin FC concede a lot late on: 15 of 37 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Austin FC score a lot late on: 11 of 25 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Sporting Kansas City: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Austin FC: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36:51 | 31 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 35:68 | 22 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Sporting Kansas City win 40%, draw 25%, Austin FC win 35%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC?
Expected goals: 3.2 (Sporting Kansas City 1.6, Austin FC 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 61%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC?
The MLS match kicks off 25 October 2026, 01:30 (UK time).