Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 22hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%61%O2.567%58%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.6
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Real Salt Lake3:1Sporting Kansas CityL
- Real Salt Lake2:1Sporting Kansas CityL
- Sporting Kansas City1:1Real Salt LakeD
- Sporting Kansas City3:4Real Salt LakeL
- Real Salt Lake1:0Sporting Kansas CityL
Sporting Kansas City's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.0under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.1under 4.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.8total 3.4Attack/defence1.5 : 1.6total 3.0
Sporting Kansas City : Real Salt LakeMost likely scores
Market1-110%1-29%2-18%0-1—2-27%1-0—1-35%Attack/defence1-111%1-29%2-18%0-17%2-26%1-07%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%0-10-1—0-17%2-22-27%2-26%1-01-0—1-07%1-31-35%1-3—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 87%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68%61% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67%58% | 58% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 66%64% | 64% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 58%61% | 61% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54%64% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46%36% | 36% |
| 2 – Real Salt Lake win | 42%39% · Elo 39% | 39%· Elo 39% |
| 1 – Sporting Kansas City win | 34%36% · Elo 34% | 36%· Elo 34% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33%42% | 42% |
| Both teams to score: no | 32%39% | 39% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Sporting Kansas City attack vs Real Salt Lake defenceattack1440defence1515−75 pts to the attack
Real Salt Lake attack vs Sporting Kansas City defenceattack1441defence1339+102 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 9.3 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.557%55%
9.545%44%
10.533%33%
11.524%25%
Each team on its own
Sporting Kansas Citywe expect 5.1, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 41%
Real Salt Lakewe expect 4.2, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%
We expect 20.0 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.544%53%
21.537%46%
22.530%40%
23.524%35%
Each team on its own
Sporting Kansas Citywe expect 9.9, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 40%
Real Salt Lakewe expect 9.9, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 41%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 75%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 25%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.546%59%
3.525%39%
4.511%20%
5.55%11%
Each team on its own
Sporting Kansas Citywe expect 1.1, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 31%
Real Salt Lakewe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 37%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sporting Kansas City concede 2.2 goals per game
- Real Salt Lake concede 2.0 goals per game
- Real Salt Lake: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Sporting Kansas City played 3 days ago
- Real Salt Lake played 3 days ago
League form
Sporting Kansas City
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41:46 | 32 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 35:68 | 22 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Sporting Kansas City win 34%, draw 24%, Real Salt Lake win 42%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Sporting Kansas City 1.6, Real Salt Lake 1.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 67%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?
The chance that both teams score is 68%.
When is Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?
The MLS match kicks off 18 October 2026, 01:30 (UK time).