Toronto FC vs Orlando City: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 22h 14mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%63%O2.568%62%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Orlando City3:0Toronto FCL
- Toronto FC4:2Orlando CityW
- Orlando City4:2Toronto FCL
- Toronto FC1:2Orlando CityL
- Orlando City1:2Toronto FCW
Toronto FC's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.0under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.1under 4.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.6total 3.5Attack/defence1.7 : 1.5total 3.2
Toronto FC : Orlando CityMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-27%2-27%1-0—0-1—3-15%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-07%0-16%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-27%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%0-10-1—0-16%3-13-15%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 87%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%76% | 76% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 69%63% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68%62% | 62% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 68%66% | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 56%58% | 58% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54%61% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46%39% | 39% |
| 1 – Toronto FC win | 44%42% · Elo 34% | 42%· Elo 34% |
| 2 – Orlando City win | 32%34% · Elo 38% | 34%· Elo 38% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32%39% | 39% |
| Both teams to score: no | 31%37% | 37% |
| X – draw | 24%24% · Elo 28% | 24%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Toronto FC attack vs Orlando City defenceattack1417defence1423−6 pts to the attack
Orlando City attack vs Toronto FC defenceattack1558defence1475+83 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 9.8 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.563%55%
9.551%44%
10.539%33%
11.529%25%
Each team on its own
Toronto FCwe expect 5.3, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 43%
Orlando Citywe expect 4.8, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 51%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 61%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 20.3 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.546%53%
21.539%46%
22.532%40%
23.526%35%
Each team on its own
Toronto FCwe expect 9.8, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 39%
Orlando Citywe expect 10.4, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 46%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 45%over
We expect 3.9 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.574%59%
3.555%39%
4.536%20%
5.521%11%
Each team on its own
Toronto FCwe expect 2.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 74%
Orlando Citywe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Toronto FC20 matches in a row with BTTS at homeoverall: 1Went on 61%League 64%Model 69%Record 19
- Orlando City7 matches in a row over 2.5 goals awayoverall: 5Went on 57%League 64%Model 68%Record 14
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Toronto FC concede 2.0 goals per game
- Toronto FC: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Orlando City: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Toronto FC: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Orlando City: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 51:66 | 37 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Toronto FC vs Orlando City?
Toronto FC are the favourites. Chances: Toronto FC win 44%, draw 24%, Orlando City win 32%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Toronto FC vs Orlando City?
Expected goals: 3.5 (Toronto FC 1.9, Orlando City 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 68%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Toronto FC vs Orlando City?
The chance that both teams score is 69%.
When is Toronto FC vs Orlando City?
The MLS match kicks off 15 October 2026, 00:30 (UK time).