Pittsburgh vs Birmingham Legion FC: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 10d 20hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%O2.541%39%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.8
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Birmingham Legion FC1:0PittsburghL
- Birmingham Legion FC1:1PittsburghD
- Pittsburgh2:0Birmingham Legion FCW
- Pittsburgh1:1Birmingham Legion FCD
- Birmingham Legion FC0:3PittsburghW
Pittsburgh's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 9.2under 9.5: 60%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 4.2under 4.5: 64%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.5 : 0.9total 2.3Attack/defence1.4 : 0.8total 2.2
Pittsburgh : Birmingham Legion FCMost likely scores
Model1-014%1-113%0-010%2-011%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-015%1-113%0-011%2-011%2-19%0-19%
ModelAttack/defence1-01-014%1-015%1-11-113%1-113%0-00-010%0-011%2-02-011%2-011%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 80%81% | 81% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67%66% | 66% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59%61% | 61% |
| 1 – Pittsburgh win | 51%50% · Elo 57% | 50%· Elo 57% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 49%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41%39% | 39% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 33%34% | 34% |
| X – draw | 27%28% · Elo 23% | 28%· Elo 23% |
| 2 – Birmingham Legion FC win | 22%22% · Elo 19% | 22%· Elo 19% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Pittsburgh attack vs Birmingham Legion FC defenceattack1404defence1412−8 pts to the attack
Birmingham Legion FC attack vs Pittsburgh defenceattack1489defence1654−165 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 7.8 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.552%51%
8.539%34%
9.527%28%
10.518%24%
Each team on its own
Pittsburghwe expect 4.5, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Birmingham Legion FCwe expect 3.3, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 42%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 22.5 in this match, 22.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.555%63%
22.548%52%
23.541%46%
24.534%41%
Each team on its own
Pittsburghwe expect 12.2, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 54%
Birmingham Legion FCwe expect 10.2, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 34%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 2.8 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.576%70%
2.552%55%
3.531%39%
4.515%17%
Each team on its own
Pittsburghwe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Birmingham Legion FCwe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Birmingham Legion FC concede 2.2 goals per game
- Pittsburgh matches average only 3.0 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Birmingham Legion FC: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Pittsburgh matches average only 6.7 corners (league 9.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Birmingham Legion FC played 3 days ago
- Pittsburgh: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pittsburgh | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion FC | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Pittsburgh vs Birmingham Legion FC?
Pittsburgh are the favourites. Chances: Pittsburgh win 51%, draw 27%, Birmingham Legion FC win 22%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Pittsburgh vs Birmingham Legion FC?
Expected goals: 2.3 (Pittsburgh 1.5, Birmingham Legion FC 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 41%. Most likely score: 1-0.
When is Pittsburgh vs Birmingham Legion FC?
The USL Championship match kicks off 25 October 2026, 00:00 (UK time).