USL ChampionshipMatchday 132
Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive FC: prediction, tips and stats
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1.5:0.9Pre-match
Our tips
Tip in 7h 52mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS49%46%O2.548%42%|exp. goals 1.5 : 0.9H2Hlast 5 meetings
- El Paso Locomotive FC0:1Sacramento RepublicW
- Sacramento Republic1:2El Paso Locomotive FCL
- El Paso Locomotive FC1:0Sacramento RepublicL
- Sacramento Republic3:0El Paso Locomotive FCW
- El Paso Locomotive FC2:1Sacramento RepublicL
Sacramento Republic's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague cornersin line with the league
9.6league 9.2under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.Yellow cardsleague yellowsin line with the league
4.2league 4.2under 4.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.Referee
no referee dataPrediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 0.9total 2.6Attack/defence1.5 : 0.9total 2.4
Sacramento Republic : El Paso Locomotive FCMost likely scores
Market1-012%1-112%2-011%2-110%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-014%1-113%2-010%2-19%0-010%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-012%1-014%1-11-112%1-113%2-02-011%2-010%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-08%0-010%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 81%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%68% | 68% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%79% | 79% |
| 1 – Sacramento Republic win | 57%51% · Elo 53% | 51%· Elo 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: no | 51%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49%46% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48%42% | 42% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 43%49% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%21% | 21% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 24%27% · Elo 25% | 27%· Elo 25% |
| 2 – El Paso Locomotive FC win | 19%22% · Elo 22% | 22%· Elo 22% |
Attack vs defence
Sacramento Republic attack vs El Paso Locomotive FC defenceattack1518defence1485+33 pts to the attack
El Paso Locomotive FC attack vs Sacramento Republic defenceattack1515defence1638−123 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 7.8 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.566%59%
7.552%48%
8.539%32%
9.527%27%
Each team on its own
Sacramento Republicwe expect 4.6, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
El Paso Locomotive FCwe expect 3.2, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 40%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 23.5 in this match, 23.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.555%56%
23.548%49%
24.541%44%
25.535%38%
Each team on its own
Sacramento Republicwe expect 11.7, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 50%
El Paso Locomotive FCwe expect 11.8, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 51%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 3.8 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.572%58%
3.552%40%
4.533%19%
5.518%14%
Each team on its own
Sacramento Republicwe expect 2.0, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 59%
El Paso Locomotive FCwe expect 1.8, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Sacramento Republic14 matches unbeatenat home: 10Went on 81%League 72%Model 81%Record 21
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sacramento Republic: unbeaten in 14 league matches
- Sacramento Republic score a lot late on: 12 of 30 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Sacramento Republic: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- El Paso Locomotive FC: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42:28 | 51 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:38 | 50 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive FC?
Sacramento Republic are the favourites. Chances: Sacramento Republic win 57%, draw 24%, El Paso Locomotive FC win 19%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive FC?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Sacramento Republic 1.7, El Paso Locomotive FC 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 48%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive FC?
The chance that both teams score is 49%.
When is Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive FC?
The USL Championship match kicks off 8 November 2026, 03:00 (UK time).
See also
- USL Championship: table, fixtures and results
- USL Championship stats: over/under, BTTS, corners and cards
- All matches that day
- The clubs' other match this season: Sacramento Republic 1-2 El Paso Locomotive FC ()
- The clubs' other match this season: El Paso Locomotive FC 0-1 Sacramento Republic ()
- Sacramento Republic: Elo rating
- El Paso Locomotive FC: Elo rating