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ATP ParisMasters 1000Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Gaston vs Kopriva 0:2: result and our tips

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Hugo GastonATP #109Elo 1831hard 1812
0:2final4:6 6:7(1)
Vit KoprivaATP #62Elo 1777hard 1714

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoLost62%

Where the number comes from: market alone 60% → with the players' profiles 62%

No tie-break in recent matches: Gaston 15 of 20, Kopriva 16 of 20 (tour average 61%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: GastonLost69%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 69%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Kopriva lost 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Lost40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Gaston 10 of 20, Kopriva 11 of 20 (tour average 40%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Hugo Gaston69%
Vit Kopriva31%

Elo: H. Gaston 64% · V. Kopriva 36%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Gaston45%
2:1 H. Gaston23%
2:1 V. Kopriva14%
2:0 V. Kopriva18%

First set

Hugo Gaston64%
Vit Kopriva36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 46%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.575%25%76%
19.568%32%68%
20.560%40%60%
21.554%46%54%
22.546%54%46%
23.540%60%40%
24.538%62%38%

Sample: 5,050 matches

Games handicap

H. Gaston −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes38%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Hugo GastonVit Kopriva
3Aces8
2Double faults5
65%First serves in62%
70%First-serve points won82%
44%Second-serve points won42%
1/5Break points converted2/7
9/11Service games held10/11
61%Service points won67%
33%Return points won39%
74Total points won85

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. GastonTourV. Kopriva
Service points won60%62%61%
Return points won40%38%38%
Service games held73%76%75%
Breaks of serve28%24%24%
Aces per service game0.250.35
Double faults per game0.190.28
Sets with a tie-break11%11%
Tie-breaks won9/186/17
Wins in straight sets54%67%
Matches in the sample6664

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Hugo Gaston

Vit Kopriva

Elo over the last year

Hugo GastonVit Kopriva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. GastonV. Kopriva
Hard court20–1754%14–1745%
Clay12–1250%14–1450%
Grass3–260%2–340%

Head to head

H. Gaston 2–0 V. Kopriva

  • 10/01/26Winner: H. Gaston6:2 6:4
  • 24/08/21Winner: H. Gaston6:4 6:2

Upcoming matches

See also