WTA Hong KongWTA 250Finalhardbest of three sets
Liu vs Eala: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 12h 52mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Claire Liu30%
Alexandra Eala70%
Elo: C. Liu 28% · A. Eala 72%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 C. Liu17%
2:1 C. Liu14%
2:1 A. Eala21%
2:0 A. Eala47%
First set
Claire Liu34%
Alexandra Eala66%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 76% | 24% | 72% |
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 41% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 46% | 54% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 40% | 60% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 2,020 matches
Games handicap
A. Eala −3.555%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes24%
tour average 22%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| C. Liu | Tour | A. Eala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 56% | 58% |
| Return points won | 45% | 44% | 45% |
| Service games held | 71% | 63% | 69% |
| Breaks of serve | 39% | 37% | 39% |
| Aces per service game | 0.32 | 0.14 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.26 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 8% | 6% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/8 | 7/10 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 46 | 71 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Claire Liu
- 07/11/26WAlexandra Shubladze#136WTA Hong Kong · SF7:5 6:4
- 06/11/26WZeynep Sonmez#67WTA Hong Kong · QF6:1 6:4
- 04/11/26WKatie Boulter#49WTA Hong Kong · R167:5 6:4
- 02/11/26WTatiana Prozorova#124WTA Hong Kong · R326:2 6:4
- 30/10/26LXinran Sun#303WTA Guangzhou · QF5:7 6:7
- 27/10/26WAntonia Ruzic#81WTA Guangzhou · R324:6 7:6 6:4
- 20/10/26LMagda Linette#68WTA Osaka · R324:6 3:6
- 18/10/26WMaddison Inglis#135WTA Osaka · Q26:4 6:3
- 17/10/26WKanon Sawashiro#600WTA Osaka · Q16:1 6:1
- 10/10/26LLanlana Tararudee#63WTA Wuhan · Q16:7 4:6
Alexandra Eala
- 07/11/26WMaria Sakkari#30WTA Hong Kong · SF7:5 3:6 6:4
- 06/11/26WAntonia Ruzic#81WTA Hong Kong · QF7:6 7:5
- 05/11/26WTereza Valentova#85WTA Hong Kong · R166:4 7:6
- 03/11/26WEmerson Jones#132WTA Hong Kong · R326:4 6:3
- 30/10/26LDiana Shnaider#11WTA Tokyo · QF6:2 6:7 4:6
- 28/10/26WTalia Gibson#36WTA Tokyo · R164:6 6:2 6:0
- 26/10/26WMika Stojsavljevic#411WTA Tokyo · R326:1 6:2
- 22/10/26LDiana Shnaider#11WTA Ningbo · R165:7 4:6
- 19/10/26WDiane Parry#34WTA Ningbo · R326:3 6:1
- 12/10/26LHan Shi#148WTA Wuhan · R646:4 3:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Claire LiuAlexandra Eala
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| C. Liu | A. Eala | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 17–1063% | 31–1567% |
| Clay | 7–558% | 4–640% |
| Grass | 5–271% | 12–475% |
Head to head
C. Liu 1–0 A. Eala
- 21/10/25Winner: C. Liu2:6 6:4 6:4
Road through the tournament
Claire Liu
- 02/11/26WTatiana Prozorova#124WTA Hong Kong · R326:2 6:4
- 04/11/26WKatie Boulter#49WTA Hong Kong · R167:5 6:4
- 06/11/26WZeynep Sonmez#67WTA Hong Kong · QF6:1 6:4
- 07/11/26WAlexandra Shubladze#136WTA Hong Kong · SF7:5 6:4
Alexandra Eala
- 03/11/26WEmerson Jones#132WTA Hong Kong · R326:4 6:3
- 05/11/26WTereza Valentova#85WTA Hong Kong · R166:4 7:6
- 06/11/26WAntonia Ruzic#81WTA Hong Kong · QF7:6 7:5
- 07/11/26WMaria Sakkari#30WTA Hong Kong · SF7:5 3:6 6:4
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