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Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Mayot vs Bar Biryukov 2:0: result and our tips

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Harold MayotATP #220Elo 1797hard 1795
2:0final6:4 7:6(4)
Petr Bar BiryukovATP #268Elo 1643hard 1656

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Lost64%

Where the number comes from: market alone 68% → with the players' profiles 64%

Mayot: 4 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost42%

Where the number comes from: market alone 48% → with the players' profiles 42%

Mayot: 3 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Harold Mayot85%
Petr Bar Biryukov15%

Elo: H. Mayot 69% · P. Bar Biryukov 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Mayot65%
2:1 H. Mayot20%
2:1 P. Bar Biryukov7%
2:0 P. Bar Biryukov8%

First set

Harold Mayot78%
Petr Bar Biryukov22%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes27%
no73%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 50%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.579%21%80%
18.569%31%71%
19.560%41%62%
20.551%50%54%
21.543%57%49%
22.537%63%42%
23.531%69%37%

Sample: 2,165 matches

Games handicap

H. Mayot −5.544%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.0out · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Harold MayotPetr Bar Biryukov
10Aces9
3Double faults3
61%First serves in73%
80%First-serve points won71%
60%Second-serve points won39%
2/4Break points converted1/1
10/11Service games held9/11
72%Service points won63%
37%Return points won28%
71Total points won60

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. MayotTourP. Bar Biryukov
Service points won63%62%64%
Return points won39%38%32%
Service games held78%76%81%
Breaks of serve25%24%16%
Aces per service game0.410.82
Double faults per game0.190.42
Sets with a tie-break12%21%
Tie-breaks won7/1316/29
Wins in straight sets59%50%
Matches in the sample4656

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Harold Mayot

Petr Bar Biryukov

Elo over the last year

Harold MayotPetr Bar Biryukov

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. MayotP. Bar Biryukov
Hard court24–1169%26–2155%
Clay2–625%2–529%
Grass1–233%0–20%

Head to head

H. Mayot 1–0 P. Bar Biryukov

  • 05/01/26Winner: H. Mayot6:1 6:4