Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets
McCabe vs Kumstat: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 4hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
James McCabe28%
Jan Kumstat72%
Elo: J. McCabe 22% · J. Kumstat 78%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. McCabe16%
2:1 J. McCabe13%
2:1 J. Kumstat22%
2:0 J. Kumstat50%
First set
James McCabe34%
Jan Kumstat66%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 50%market (no margin): 49%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 72% | 28% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 63% | 37% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 44% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 50% | 50% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 35% | 65% | 32% |
Sample: 4,488 matches
Games handicap
J. Kumstat −3.553%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes45%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. McCabe | Tour | J. Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 34% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 83% | 76% | 86% |
| Breaks of serve | 17% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.70 | 0.75 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.24 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 28% | 18% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 16/33 | 11/17 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 52 | 41 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
James McCabe
- 03/11/26LKasidit Samrej#409Challenger Taipei · R323:6 5:7
- 27/10/26LHiroki Moriya#455Challenger Ningbo · R321:6 6:2 6:7
- 21/10/26LJay Friend#252Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R166:4 6:7 4:6
- 19/10/26WElias Ymer#245Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:0 6:7 7:6
- 12/10/26LHayato Matsuoka#247Challenger Jinan · Q23:6 4:6
- 11/10/26WSiddhant BanthiaChallenger Jinan · Q16:0 3:1
- 30/09/26LFederico Cina#136Challenger Jingshan · R322:6 3:6
- 24/08/26LLukas Neumayer#155ATP US Open · Q11:6 4:6
- 04/08/26LDusan Lajovic#163Challenger Lexington · R323:6 7:6 3:6
- 25/07/26LAlex Bolt#174ATP Washington · Q16:7 6:7
Jan Kumstat
- 08/11/26LYosuke Watanuki#375Challenger Taipei · F6:7 5:7
- 07/11/26WYuta Shimizu#405Challenger Taipei · SF7:5 6:4
- 06/11/26WHarold Mayot#220Challenger Taipei · QF3:6 7:6 6:4
- 04/11/26WBilly Harris#232Challenger Taipei · R167:6 6:4
- 02/11/26WJoel Schwaerzler#172Challenger Taipei · R327:5 3:6 7:6
- 27/10/26LSho Shimabukuro#118Challenger Seoul · R324:6 0:6
- 18/10/26LMichael Mmoh#149ATP Lyon · Q11:6 7:6 3:6
- 15/10/26LJacob Fearnley#90Challenger Olbia · R164:6 3:6
- 13/10/26WEdas Butvilas#209Challenger Olbia · R327:6 7:6
- 31/08/26LJuan Pablo Varillas#202Challenger Como · R324:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
James McCabeJan Kumstat
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. McCabe | J. Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 18–2146% | 7–654% |
| Clay | 0–20% | 24–486% |
| Grass | 6–555% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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