Michelsen vs Lehečka 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 60% → with the players' profiles 63%
Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Michelsen 12 of 20, Lehecka 13 of 20 (tour average 54%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
A third set in recent matches: Michelsen 8 of 20, Lehecka 10 of 20 (tour average 36%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Michelsen 43% · J. Lehečka 57%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 70% | 30% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 63% | 37% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 57% | 43% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 49% | 51% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 44% | 56% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 42% | 58% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 38% | 62% | 30% |
Sample: 6,047 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 22.5in · 31 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Alex Michelsen | Jiří Lehečka | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 10 |
| 2 | Double faults | 2 |
| 68% | First serves in | 64% |
| 81% | First-serve points won | 64% |
| 54% | Second-serve points won | 54% |
| 4/15 | Break points converted | 1/7 |
| 14/15 | Service games held | 11/15 |
| 72% | Service points won | 61% |
| 39% | Return points won | 28% |
| 106 | Total points won | 90 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Michelsen | Tour | J. Lehečka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 68% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 87% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 0.47 | 0.68 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.12 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 16/30 | 14/30 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 62% | |
| Matches in the sample | 62 | 58 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alex Michelsen
- 29/10/26LArthur Fils#7ATP Basel · R166:4 3:6 6:7
- 27/10/26WBotic Van de Zandschulp#37ATP Basel · R325:7 6:3 6:3
- 23/10/26LArthur Fils#7ATP Brussels · QF4:6 6:7
- 22/10/26WDavid Goffin#686ATP Brussels · R166:3 6:4
- 19/10/26WAndrea Guerrieri#166ATP Brussels · R326:1 6:2
- 10/10/26LBotic Van de Zandschulp#37ATP Shanghai · R644:6 4:6
- 01/10/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP Tokyo · R326:7 6:4 1:6
- 08/09/26LFrances Tiafoe#8ATP US Open · QF7:5 6:3 5:7 3:6 6:7
- 06/09/26WTomás Martín Etcheverry#31ATP US Open · R167:6 6:4 6:4
- 04/09/26WDaniel Merida#42ATP US Open · R327:6 6:4 6:3
Jiří Lehečka
- 01/11/26LValentin Vacherot#27ATP Basel · F6:2 3:6 3:6
- 31/10/26WJan-Lennard Struff#39ATP Basel · SF3:6 7:5 6:4
- 30/10/26WJerome Kym#164ATP Basel · QF6:4 6:2
- 29/10/26WDaniel Altmaier#63ATP Basel · R167:5 6:4
- 27/10/26WStan Wawrinka#152ATP Basel · R327:5 7:6
- 23/10/26LTallon Griekspoor#50ATP Brussels · QF6:4 4:6 3:6
- 22/10/26WRaphael Collignon#55ATP Brussels · R166:4 6:2
- 12/10/26LRafael Jodar#10ATP Shanghai · R326:4 6:7 4:6
- 10/10/26WNuno Borges#49ATP Shanghai · R646:3 3:6 6:3
- 06/10/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP Tokyo · F6:7 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Michelsen | J. Lehečka | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 29–1566% | 25–1464% |
| Clay | 6–746% | 6–460% |
| Grass | 3–260% | 6–367% |
Head to head
A. Michelsen 1–1 J. Lehečka
- 26/04/26Winner: J. Lehečka4:6 2:6
- 18/01/24Winner: A. Michelsen4:6 6:3 6:4 6:4