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WTA 125 SopoRound of 32claybest of three sets

Monnet vs Romero Gormaz: prediction and tips

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Carole MonnetWTA #214Elo 1631clay 1653
-:-awaiting result
Leyre Romero GormazWTA #111Elo 1754clay 1779

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: Romero Gormaz64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 64%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Romero Gormaz won 8 of the last 10 matches; Romero Gormaz: 5 wins in a row

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 19.560%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Monnet 13 of 20, Romero Gormaz 12 of 20 (tour average 51%)

Long shot
Total Sets: Over 2.539%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

A third set in 3 of their 4 head-to-head matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Carole Monnet36%
Leyre Romero Gormaz64%

Elo: C. Monnet 33% · L. Romero Gormaz 67%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Monnet24%
2:1 C. Monnet17%
2:1 L. Romero Gormaz22%
2:0 L. Romero Gormaz38%

First set

Carole Monnet45%
Leyre Romero Gormaz55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%59%
19.560%40%51%
20.553%47%45%
21.549%51%41%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,495 matches

Games handicap

L. Romero Gormaz −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. MonnetTourL. Romero Gormaz
Service points won51%56%55%
Return points won47%44%48%
Service games held51%63%63%
Breaks of serve45%37%46%
Aces per service game0.110.20
Double faults per game0.530.42
Sets with a tie-break13%9%
Tie-breaks won10/163/12
Wins in straight sets67%66%
Matches in the sample5457

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Carole Monnet

Leyre Romero Gormaz

Elo over the last year

Carole MonnetLeyre Romero Gormaz

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. MonnetL. Romero Gormaz
Hard court4–1029%3–538%
Clay20–1853%32–1667%
Grass0–20%0–10%

Head to head

C. Monnet 1–3 L. Romero Gormaz

  • 05/11/26Winner: L. Romero Gormaz6:4 5:7 4:6
  • 05/06/26Winner: L. Romero Gormaz6:1 2:6 1:6
  • 03/03/26Winner: L. Romero Gormaz0:6 6:4 4:6
  • 24/10/25Winner: C. Monnet6:2 6:4

Upcoming matches

See also