Primera LPFMatchday 16
Aldosivi vs River Plate: prediction, tips and stats
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1.0:1.6Pre-match
Our tips
Tip in 22h 2mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS45%50%O2.551%47%|exp. goals 1.0 : 1.6H2Hlast 5 meetings
- River Plate3:1AldosiviL
- Aldosivi0:3River PlateL
- River Plate2:0AldosiviL
- Aldosivi1:2River PlateL
- River Plate1:0AldosiviL
Aldosivi's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague cornersin line with the league
9.3league 9.2under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.Yellow cardsleague yellowsin line with the league
4.7league 4.8over 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.Referee
awaiting appointmentPrediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.7 : 2.0total 2.7Attack/defence1.0 : 1.6total 2.6
Aldosivi : River PlateMost likely scores
Market0-213%0-113%1-110%1-29%0-39%0-0—1-0—Attack/defence0-29%0-112%1-112%1-29%0-3—0-08%1-07%
MarketAttack/defence0-20-213%0-29%0-10-113%0-112%1-11-110%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%0-30-39%0-3—0-00-0—0-08%1-01-0—1-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 88%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 80%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%74% | 74% |
| 2 – River Plate win | 68%50% · Elo 54% | 50%· Elo 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 55%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%47% | 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45%50% | 50% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 32%50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%26% | 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 20%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
| 1 – Aldosivi win | 12%24% · Elo 19% | 24%· Elo 19% |
Attack vs defence
Aldosivi attack vs River Plate defenceattack1426defence1590−164 pts to the attack
River Plate attack vs Aldosivi defenceattack1622defence1384+238 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 9.0 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.567%53%
8.554%40%
9.542%31%
10.530%22%
Each team on its own
Aldosiviwe expect 4.8, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 51%
River Platewe expect 4.7, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 67%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 57%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 21.9 in this match, 22.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.550%54%
22.543%49%
23.537%43%
24.530%35%
Each team on its own
Aldosiviwe expect 11.3, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 56%
River Platewe expect 10.5, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 36%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.567%65%
3.545%39%
4.527%24%
5.514%14%
Each team on its own
Aldosiviwe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
River Platewe expect 1.8, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 52%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Andres VombergarAldosivi3 matches with a goal3 goalsWent on 28%Season 55%
Worth knowing before kick-off
- River Plate concede a lot late on: 9 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Aldosivi: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- River Plate: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group B
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | River Plate | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 23 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:24 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Aldosivi vs River Plate?
River Plate are the favourites. Chances: Aldosivi win 12%, draw 20%, River Plate win 68%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Aldosivi vs River Plate?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Aldosivi 0.7, River Plate 2.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 51%. Most likely score: 0-2.
Will both teams score in Aldosivi vs River Plate?
The chance that both teams score is 45%.
When is Aldosivi vs River Plate?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 5 November 2026, 18:00 (UK time).