Primera LPFMatchday 14
Aldosivi vs Belgrano: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 13hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%47%O2.538%41%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Belgrano1:0AldosiviL
- Aldosivi0:0BelgranoD
- Belgrano2:0AldosiviL
- Aldosivi2:0BelgranoW
- Belgrano0:0AldosiviD
Aldosivi's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 8.8over 8.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.8league 4.8over 4.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 4.8 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.4total 2.3Attack/defence1.1 : 1.2total 2.3
Aldosivi : BelgranoMost likely scores
Market0-114%1-114%0-012%1-0—0-210%1-29%Attack/defence0-112%1-114%0-010%1-010%0-28%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence0-10-114%0-112%1-11-114%1-114%0-00-012%0-010%1-01-0—1-010%0-20-210%0-28%1-21-29%1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 82%80% | 80% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 78%68% | 68% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66%67% | 67% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62%59% | 59% |
| Both teams to score: no | 56%53% | 53% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 53%61% | 61% |
| 2 – Belgrano win | 48%39% · Elo 49% | 39%· Elo 49% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44%47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38%41% | 41% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 34%33% | 33% |
| X – draw | 30%29% · Elo 29% | 29%· Elo 29% |
| 1 – Aldosivi win | 23%32% · Elo 22% | 32%· Elo 22% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Aldosivi attack vs Belgrano defenceattack1427defence1545−118 pts to the attack
Belgrano attack vs Aldosivi defenceattack1506defence1391+115 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 40%over
We expect 8.5 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.573%63%
7.560%52%
8.547%40%
9.535%30%
Each team on its own
Aldosiviwe expect 4.6, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 48%
Belgranowe expect 4.1, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 57%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 38%
We expect 21.1 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.545%56%
22.538%50%
23.531%45%
24.526%37%
Each team on its own
Aldosiviwe expect 10.7, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 50%
Belgranowe expect 10.1, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 33%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.567%65%
3.545%41%
4.527%26%
5.514%14%
Each team on its own
Aldosiviwe expect 2.1, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 61%
Belgranowe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Belgrano: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Belgrano concede only 0.5 goals per game
- Belgrano score a lot late on: 11 of 26 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Aldosivi: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Belgrano: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Belgrano | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:7 | 22 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13:20 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Aldosivi vs Belgrano?
Belgrano are the favourites. Chances: Aldosivi win 23%, draw 30%, Belgrano win 48%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Aldosivi vs Belgrano?
Expected goals: 2.3 (Aldosivi 0.9, Belgrano 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 38%. Most likely score: 0-1.
Will both teams score in Aldosivi vs Belgrano?
The chance that both teams score is 44%.
When is Aldosivi vs Belgrano?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 25 October 2026, 17:45 (UK time).