Primera LPFMatchday 14
Argentinos Jrs vs Ind. Rivadavia: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 13d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%49%O2.541%47%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.9
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Ind. Rivadavia3:1Argentinos JrsL
- Ind. Rivadavia2:1Argentinos JrsL
- Argentinos Jrs0:0Ind. RivadaviaD
- Ind. Rivadavia2:1Argentinos JrsL
Argentinos Jrs's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses2.5 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 8.8over 8.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.8league 4.8over 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.8 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.9total 2.4Attack/defence1.6 : 0.9total 2.5
Argentinos Jrs : Ind. RivadaviaMost likely scores
Market1-013%1-113%0-011%2-011%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-012%1-112%0-08%2-010%2-110%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-013%1-012%1-11-113%1-112%0-00-011%0-08%2-02-011%2-010%2-12-19%2-110%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 79%78% | 78% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 79%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69%72% | 72% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 55%51% | 51% |
| 1 – Argentinos Jrs win | 50%52% · Elo 40% | 52%· Elo 40% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 50%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45%49% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41%47% | 47% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 29%26% · Elo 31% | 26%· Elo 31% |
| 2 – Ind. Rivadavia win | 21%22% · Elo 29% | 22%· Elo 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Argentinos Jrs attack vs Ind. Rivadavia defenceattack1557defence1459+98 pts to the attack
Ind. Rivadavia attack vs Argentinos Jrs defenceattack1557defence1587−30 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 8.3 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.571%63%
7.558%52%
8.545%40%
9.532%30%
Each team on its own
Argentinos Jrswe expect 4.9, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 52%
Ind. Rivadaviawe expect 3.6, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 49%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 58%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 21.7 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.549%56%
22.542%50%
23.535%45%
24.529%37%
Each team on its own
Argentinos Jrswe expect 9.1, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 32%
Ind. Rivadaviawe expect 12.5, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 58%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 4.2 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.579%65%
3.561%41%
4.542%26%
5.526%14%
Each team on its own
Argentinos Jrswe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Ind. Rivadaviawe expect 2.9, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 77%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:11 | 22 |
| 8 | Ind. Rivadavia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:19 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Argentinos Jrs vs Ind. Rivadavia?
Argentinos Jrs are the favourites. Chances: Argentinos Jrs win 50%, draw 29%, Ind. Rivadavia win 21%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Argentinos Jrs vs Ind. Rivadavia?
Expected goals: 2.4 (Argentinos Jrs 1.5, Ind. Rivadavia 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 41%. Most likely score: 1-0.
Will both teams score in Argentinos Jrs vs Ind. Rivadavia?
The chance that both teams score is 45%.
When is Argentinos Jrs vs Ind. Rivadavia?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 27 October 2026, 22:00 (UK time).