Primera LPFMatchday 13
Ind. Rivadavia vs Tigre: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%50%O2.538%44%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Tigre0:2Ind. RivadaviaW
- Tigre1:1Ind. RivadaviaD
- Ind. Rivadavia1:4TigreL
- Tigre0:2Ind. RivadaviaW
Ind. Rivadavia's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.8over 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.7league 4.8over 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.8total 2.2Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Ind. Rivadavia : TigreMost likely scores
Market1-014%1-114%0-012%2-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-012%1-113%0-09%2-08%2-19%0-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-014%1-012%1-11-114%1-113%0-00-012%0-09%2-02-010%2-08%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 82%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66%70% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 57%51% | 51% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%56% | 56% |
| 1 – Ind. Rivadavia win | 49%44% · Elo 52% | 44%· Elo 52% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38%44% | 44% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 34%30% | 30% |
| X – draw | 29%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Tigre win | 22%28% · Elo 20% | 28%· Elo 20% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Ind. Rivadavia attack vs Tigre defenceattack1557defence1535+22 pts to the attack
Tigre attack vs Ind. Rivadavia defenceattack1494defence1459+35 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 8.3 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.571%63%
7.558%52%
8.545%40%
9.533%30%
Each team on its own
Ind. Rivadaviawe expect 5.1, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 56%
Tigrewe expect 3.5, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 46%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 63%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%
We expect 21.0 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.544%56%
22.537%50%
23.531%45%
24.525%37%
Each team on its own
Ind. Rivadaviawe expect 11.1, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 54%
Tigrewe expect 9.6, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 27%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 4.0 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.576%65%
3.557%41%
4.538%26%
5.522%14%
Each team on its own
Ind. Rivadaviawe expect 3.0, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 78%
Tigrewe expect 1.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Ind. Rivadavia8 matches in a row with BTTS at homeWent on 55%League 47%Model 43%Record 12
- Tigre5 defeats in a rowaway: 3Went on 49%League 43%Model 49%Record 11
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Tigre: 5 defeats in a row
- Tigre: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Ind. Rivadavia: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Tigre: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ind. Rivadavia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 12 | Tigre | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:13 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Ind. Rivadavia vs Tigre?
Ind. Rivadavia are the favourites. Chances: Ind. Rivadavia win 49%, draw 29%, Tigre win 22%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Ind. Rivadavia vs Tigre?
Expected goals: 2.2 (Ind. Rivadavia 1.4, Tigre 0.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 38%. Most likely score: 1-0.
Will both teams score in Ind. Rivadavia vs Tigre?
The chance that both teams score is 43%.
When is Ind. Rivadavia vs Tigre?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 17 October 2026, 21:30 (UK time).