Primera LPFMatchday 12

Tigre 1-2 Banfield: prediction, tips and result

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Tigre
0-01-20-12-31-2
1-2Full time(half time 1-2)
Banfield
1-12-21-11-32-3
Stadium:
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Pablo Echavarria

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Yellow Cards: Under 4.5Lost61%

under 4.5 yellow cards in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (46% of league matches); our numbers: 4.1 yellow cards against a league average of 4.8

Other tips

  • Offsides – Banfield: Over 1.5Lost64%

    our numbers for Banfield: 2.2 offsides against a league average of 1.7; Banfield: 2.1 offsides a match, Tigre's opponents were caught offside 2.5 times on average, league average 1.7

  • Fouls – Tigre: Under 10.5Won64%

    our numbers for Tigre: 9.5 fouls against a league average of 11.0; Tigre: 8.7 fouls a match, Banfield's opponents committed 10.5 on average, league average 11.0

  • Shots on Target – Tigre: Under 4.5Lost56%

    Tigre: under 4.5 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 league matches (53% of league matches)

For the brave
Yellow Cards: Under 3.5Lost42%

our numbers: 4.1 yellow cards against a league average of 4.8; 4.3 yellow cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.2 in the visitors', league average 4.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTigre160654%50%Draw27%28%Banfield154618%22%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%47%O2.541%45%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Banfield1:0TigreL
  2. Banfield1:0TigreL
  3. Tigre1:0BanfieldW
  4. Banfield0:1TigreW
  5. Tigre1:2BanfieldL
Tigre's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.6league 8.8under 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.6 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.8under 4.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.lost · ended 6
RefereeP. Echavarria−1.0 yellow cards vs average20 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)68%11:1coverageleague 56% · H2H 2/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.8total 2.3Attack/defence1.6 : 0.9total 2.5
Tigre : Banfield
Most likely scores
Market1-014%1-113%2-012%0-011%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-013%1-112%2-011%0-09%2-19%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-014%1-013%1-11-113%1-112%2-02-012%2-011%0-00-011%0-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat81%80%80%
Under 3.5 goals80%76%76%
12 – no draw72%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals68%71%71%
Under 2.5 goals59%55%55%
Both teams to score: no56%53%53%
1 – Tigre win54%54% · Elo 50%54%· Elo 50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat45%46%46%
Both teams to score: yes44%47%47%
Over 2.5 goals41%45%45%
Under 1.5 goals32%29%29%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals20%24%24%
2 – Banfield win18%20% · Elo 22%20%· Elo 22%
Attack vs defence
Tigre attack vs Banfield defenceattack1497defence1396+101 pts to the attack
Banfield attack vs Tigre defenceattack1474defence1539−65 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 8.1 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.569%62%
7.555%51%
8.542%39%
9.530%30%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Tigrewe expect 4.4, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 44%
Banfieldwe expect 3.8, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 51%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 63%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%
We expect 21.0 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.544%56%
22.537%50%
23.531%45%
24.525%37%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Tigrewe expect 9.5, league average 11.0 · chance of over 10.5: 36%
Banfieldwe expect 12.0, league average 11.7 · chance of over 11.5: 53%
Referee: 21.3 fouls per match on average (18 matches in our data)−1.3 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 47%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.568%65%
3.547%41%
4.528%26%
5.515%14%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Tigrewe expect 1.3, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Banfieldwe expect 2.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 64%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Banfield matches average only 3.2 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Tigre: 4 defeats in a row
  • Tigre: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Banfield: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Tigre

Banfield

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Banfield1234514:1813
12Tigre1233611:1312
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Tigre vs Banfield?

Tigre 1-2 Banfield (half time 1-2).

Did the Tigre vs Banfield tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Yellow Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.

See also